MTR Valuation

Is MRI0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MRI0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€8.43
Fair Value
2.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MRI0 (€8.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€8.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MRI0 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MRI0?

Key metric: As MRI0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MRI0. This is calculated by dividing MRI0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MRI0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.7x
EarningsHK$9.65b
Market CapHK$151.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MRI0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MRI0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
15.9x-16.6%€23.2b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.9x8.1%€41.6b
SIX2 Sixt
16.3x14.1%€3.5b
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.3x2.0%€7.1b
15.7x7.1%€151.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MRI0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MRI0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MRI0 15.7xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MRI0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MRI0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MRI0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MRI0's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
€10.15
Fair Value
15.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 17:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MTR Corporation Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Manfred HoBOCI Research Ltd.
Karl ChoiBofA Global Research
Aaron HoCFRA Equity Research