Sixt Valuation

Is SIX2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SIX2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SIX2 (€71.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€67.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SIX2 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SIX2?

Key metric: As SIX2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SIX2. This is calculated by dividing SIX2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SIX2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14x
Earnings€238.07m
Market Cap€3.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SIX2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SIX2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
FRA Fraport
10.8x3.7%€4.9b
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
7x15.4%€7.9b
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
42.7x55.0%€1.3b
CAR Avis Budget Group
8.8x14.4%US$3.6b
SIX2 Sixt
14x16.3%€3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SIX2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SIX2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SIX2 14.0xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SIX2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SIX2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SIX2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14x
Fair PE Ratio14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SIX2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SIX2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€71.20
€97.13
+36.4%
17.4%€135.00€80.00n/a8
Nov ’25€72.95
€92.38
+26.6%
8.5%€101.00€80.00n/a8
Oct ’25€65.35
€98.88
+51.3%
17.3%€135.00€80.00n/a8
Sep ’25€63.85
€105.13
+64.6%
20.3%€140.00€80.00n/a8
Aug ’25€62.70
€110.25
+75.8%
17.5%€140.00€84.00n/a8
Jul ’25€66.40
€114.13
+71.9%
17.6%€140.00€84.00n/a8
Jun ’25€75.40
€114.13
+51.4%
17.6%€140.00€84.00n/a8
May ’25€90.00
€128.88
+43.2%
11.6%€155.00€104.00n/a8
Apr ’25€92.45
€128.88
+39.4%
11.6%€155.00€104.00n/a8
Mar ’25€88.50
€129.63
+46.5%
11.0%€155.00€104.00n/a8
Feb ’25€90.10
€131.63
+46.1%
11.6%€155.00€104.00n/a8
Jan ’25€101.20
€132.25
+30.7%
11.3%€155.00€104.00n/a8
Dec ’24€91.50
€132.25
+44.5%
11.3%€155.00€104.00€69.708
Nov ’24€81.10
€131.88
+62.6%
8.2%€147.00€120.00€72.958
Oct ’24€87.80
€136.13
+55.0%
9.4%€160.00€120.00€65.358
Sep ’24€98.15
€136.13
+38.7%
9.4%€160.00€120.00€63.858
Aug ’24€108.50
€148.00
+36.4%
8.1%€160.00€125.00€62.707
Jul ’24€109.70
€149.00
+35.8%
8.5%€160.00€122.00€66.408
Jun ’24€102.10
€145.11
+42.1%
10.7%€160.00€116.00€75.409
May ’24€112.30
€149.44
+33.1%
7.9%€160.00€122.00€90.009
Apr ’24€122.60
€148.67
+21.3%
8.2%€160.00€122.00€92.459
Mar ’24€124.60
€147.00
+18.0%
9.2%€160.00€122.00€88.509
Feb ’24€118.30
€131.22
+10.9%
15.4%€158.00€87.00€90.109
Jan ’24€85.95
€131.78
+53.3%
17.2%€158.00€87.00€101.209
Dec ’23€93.40
€131.78
+41.1%
17.2%€158.00€87.00€91.509

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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