GXO Logistics Valuation

Is 93N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 93N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 93N (€56.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€64.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 93N is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 93N?

Key metric: As 93N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 93N. This is calculated by dividing 93N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 93N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio65.9x
EarningsUS$107.00m
Market CapUS$7.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 93N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 93N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10x
DHL Deutsche Post
12.6x9.0%€40.6b
TGHN Logwin
10.1x-7.4%€714.0m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.8x15.4%€7.7b
FRA Fraport
10.5x3.7%€4.8b
93N GXO Logistics
65.9x44.7%€7.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 93N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65.9x) compared to the peer average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 93N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
93N 65.9xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 93N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65.9x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 93N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

93N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio65.9x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 93N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 93N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€56.50
€65.96
+16.7%
10.4%€78.56€49.22n/a16
Nov ’25€54.00
€62.70
+16.1%
11.9%€75.96€48.17n/a16
Oct ’25€46.00
€60.12
+30.7%
12.9%€73.37€46.52n/a15
Sep ’25€44.40
€61.67
+38.9%
13.1%€75.10€47.63n/a15
Aug ’25€51.00
€63.06
+23.6%
13.3%€75.82€47.15n/a15
Jul ’25€46.40
€62.44
+34.6%
13.5%€75.30€46.83n/a15
Jun ’25€44.40
€63.56
+43.2%
13.3%€75.85€47.18n/a14
May ’25€46.60
€63.68
+36.6%
13.0%€74.58€46.61n/a13
Apr ’25€48.20
€62.92
+30.5%
12.7%€73.69€46.06n/a13
Mar ’25€46.80
€62.76
+34.1%
12.4%€73.76€46.10n/a14
Feb ’25€49.60
€62.90
+26.8%
10.4%€73.59€48.75n/a16
Jan ’25€55.50
€61.92
+11.6%
10.1%€72.71€48.17n/a16
Dec ’24€51.00
€63.88
+25.2%
10.0%€74.87€49.60€57.0016
Nov ’24€47.00
€68.35
+45.4%
9.6%€75.74€50.18€54.0016
Oct ’24€54.50
€68.03
+24.8%
9.6%€74.87€49.60€46.0016
Sep ’24€58.50
€67.55
+15.5%
9.3%€75.19€49.20€44.4017
Aug ’24€60.50
€62.12
+2.7%
11.2%€73.66€42.74€51.0016
Jul ’24€57.00
€59.86
+5.0%
11.0%€69.01€43.24€46.4016
Jun ’24€51.50
€58.95
+14.5%
9.6%€68.31€43.98€44.4016
May ’24€46.60
€54.92
+17.8%
10.2%€66.37€42.73€46.6015
Apr ’24€44.78
€56.22
+25.6%
10.1%€68.09€43.84€48.2015
Mar ’24€46.00
€56.42
+22.6%
10.3%€69.20€43.95€46.8015
Feb ’24€47.25
€54.06
+14.4%
14.2%€68.58€37.07€49.6015
Jan ’24€40.13
€49.11
+22.4%
14.1%€63.12€37.68€55.5015
Dec ’23€44.23
€52.66
+19.1%
19.4%€71.99€38.39€51.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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