Clasquin Valuation

Is 7J4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7J4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7J4 (€139.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€290.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7J4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7J4?

Key metric: As 7J4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7J4. This is calculated by dividing 7J4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7J4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
Earnings€15.43m
Market Cap€322.58m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7J4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7J4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
TGHN Logwin
9.5x-7.4%€673.7m
MLL Müller - Die lila Logistik
5.4xn/a€44.6m
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
EUK3 EUROKAI GmbH KGaA
10.6x13.5%€418.9m
7J4 Clasquin
20.9x8.9%€322.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7J4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7J4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7J4 20.9xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7J4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7J4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7J4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7J4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7J4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€139.50
€142.01
+1.8%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Nov ’25€139.50
€142.02
+1.8%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Oct ’25€138.50
€142.02
+2.5%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Sep ’25€136.00
€142.01
+4.4%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Aug ’25€134.50
€142.01
+5.6%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Jul ’25€130.50
€142.02
+8.8%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Jun ’25€135.00
€142.02
+5.2%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
May ’25€135.00
€142.01
+5.2%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Apr ’25€134.00
€142.02
+6.0%
0.01%€142.03€142.00n/a3
Mar ’25€128.00
€136.67
+6.8%
1.8%€140.00€134.00n/a3
Feb ’25€128.50
€136.67
+6.4%
1.8%€140.00€134.00n/a3
Jan ’25€120.50
€136.67
+13.4%
1.8%€140.00€134.00n/a3
Dec ’24€83.20
€96.00
+15.4%
0.9%€97.00€95.00n/a3
Nov ’24€77.40
€96.00
+24.0%
0.9%€97.00€95.00€139.503
Oct ’24€88.20
€96.00
+8.8%
0.9%€97.00€95.00€138.503
Sep ’24€86.60
€93.00
+7.4%
2.2%€95.00€91.00€136.002
Aug ’24€83.20
€93.00
+11.8%
2.2%€95.00€91.00€134.502
Jul ’24€72.60
€84.50
+16.4%
5.3%€89.00€80.00€130.502
Jun ’24€76.20
€82.50
+8.3%
3.0%€85.00€80.00€135.002
Feb ’24€59.20
€77.10
+30.2%
2.7%€79.20€75.00€128.502
Jan ’24€58.60
€79.60
+35.8%
0.5%€80.00€79.20€120.502
Dec ’23€58.40
€79.60
+36.3%
0.5%€80.00€79.20€83.202
Nov ’23€55.60
€79.60
+43.2%
0.5%€80.00€79.20€77.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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