Qube Holdings Valuation

Is 1K1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1K1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1K1 (€2.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1K1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1K1?

Key metric: As 1K1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1K1. This is calculated by dividing 1K1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1K1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.3x
EarningsAU$227.00m
Market CapAU$7.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1K1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1K1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
42.4x55.0%€1.3b
EUK3 EUROKAI GmbH KGaA
11.5x13.5%€493.0m
FRA Fraport
12.1x2.6%€5.5b
SIX2 Sixt
15.6x14.1%€3.4b
1K1 Qube Holdings
31.3x10.5%€7.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1K1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1K1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1K1 31.3xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies5PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1K1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1K1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1K1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.3x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1K1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1K1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.38
€2.43
+2.3%
8.2%€2.89€2.09n/a13
Dec ’25€2.44
€2.53
+3.5%
8.2%€3.00€2.17n/a13
Nov ’25€2.22
€2.49
+12.1%
7.1%€2.85€2.16n/a13
Oct ’25€2.46
€2.44
-0.9%
8.3%€2.82€2.00n/a15
Sep ’25€2.34
€2.43
+3.7%
8.3%€2.81€1.99n/a15
Aug ’25€2.26
€2.33
+2.9%
8.5%€2.76€1.99n/a15
Jul ’25€2.28
€2.32
+1.6%
8.8%€2.78€2.00n/a15
Jun ’25€2.18
€2.32
+6.3%
8.9%€2.79€2.01n/a15
May ’25€2.00
€2.20
+10.1%
7.0%€2.63€1.99n/a15
Apr ’25€2.04
€2.16
+6.1%
7.2%€2.60€1.98n/a14
Mar ’25€1.94
€2.19
+13.1%
7.0%€2.62€2.00n/a13
Feb ’25€1.94
€2.09
+7.9%
7.9%€2.54€1.90n/a13
Jan ’25€1.98
€2.12
+7.1%
8.3%€2.58€1.93€2.3813
Dec ’24€1.75
€2.08
+18.9%
8.3%€2.53€1.90€2.4413
Nov ’24€1.61
€2.08
+29.1%
7.0%€2.40€1.90€2.2214
Oct ’24€1.74
€2.08
+19.4%
7.0%€2.40€1.90€2.4614
Sep ’24€1.81
€2.05
+13.5%
6.7%€2.38€1.88€2.3415
Aug ’24€1.75
€2.09
+19.6%
8.1%€2.54€1.92€2.2616
Jul ’24€1.72
€2.09
+21.7%
7.8%€2.53€1.92€2.2816
Jun ’24€1.77
€2.09
+18.3%
7.8%€2.53€1.92€2.1816
May ’24€1.80
€2.08
+15.6%
7.5%€2.47€1.91€2.0016
Apr ’24€1.73
€2.11
+22.0%
8.0%€2.48€1.82€2.0416
Mar ’24€1.99
€2.18
+9.7%
7.9%€2.55€1.87€1.9416
Feb ’24€1.95
€2.08
+6.7%
8.6%€2.54€1.85€1.9416
Jan ’24€1.75
€2.08
+18.9%
8.6%€2.54€1.85€1.9816

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 10:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Qube Holdings Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew RyanBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Sam ByrnesBell Potter
Reinhardt WaltBofA Global Research