Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Müller - Die lila Logistik (ETR:MLL) Is Using Debt Extensively

XTRA:MLL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Müller - Die lila Logistik SE (ETR:MLL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Müller - Die lila Logistik

What Is Müller - Die lila Logistik's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Müller - Die lila Logistik had €53.0m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had €11.5m in cash, and so its net debt is €41.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:MLL Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024

How Strong Is Müller - Die lila Logistik's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Müller - Die lila Logistik had liabilities of €59.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of €109.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €11.5m and €29.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €127.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €49.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Müller - Die lila Logistik would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Müller - Die lila Logistik's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.2, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. One redeeming factor for Müller - Die lila Logistik is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of €6.0m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Müller - Die lila Logistik's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Müller - Die lila Logistik actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Müller - Die lila Logistik's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Müller - Die lila Logistik has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Müller - Die lila Logistik is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.