Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Fraport AG's (ETR:FRA) Shares

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 19x in Germany, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fraport AG's (ETR:FRA) P/E ratio of 16.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Fraport's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

See our latest analysis for Fraport

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fraport.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

Fraport's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 2,827% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 6.4% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 17% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Fraport is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Fraport currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fraport, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fraport's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.