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Results: Fraport AG Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
It's been a good week for Fraport AG (ETR:FRA) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 6.7% to €77.50. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of €1.4b were what the analysts expected, Fraport surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of €3.28 per share, an impressive 29% above what was forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Fraport's 15 analysts is for revenues of €4.55b in 2026. This reflects a satisfactory 2.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to fall 18% to €4.14 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €4.57b and earnings per share (EPS) of €4.13 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
View our latest analysis for Fraport
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €75.40. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Fraport analyst has a price target of €94.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €58.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Fraport shareholders.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Fraport's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Fraport's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 2.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 21% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 3.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Fraport is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Fraport's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €75.40, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Fraport going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Fraport .
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:FRA
Fraport
Owns and operates airports in Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and the United States.
Good value with acceptable track record.
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