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United Internet AG's (ETR:UTDI) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
United Internet AG (ETR:UTDI) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think United Internet's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Germany's Telecom industry is similar at about 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for United Internet
What Does United Internet's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
United Internet's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think United Internet's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For United Internet?
United Internet's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.0% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 14% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.0% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 7.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that United Internet is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
United Internet's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of United Internet's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with United Internet (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).
If you're unsure about the strength of United Internet's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:UTDI
United Internet
Through its subsidiaries, operates as an Internet service provider worldwide.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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