Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts NFON AG (ETR:NFN) Shares 27% But It Can Do More

XTRA:NFN
Source: Shutterstock

NFON AG (ETR:NFN) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think NFON's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Germany's Telecom industry is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for NFON

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:NFN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 22nd 2023

What Does NFON's Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate NFON's and the industry's revenue growth lately. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. Those who are bullish on NFON will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on NFON will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like NFON's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.8% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 29% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.2% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 0.7%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that NFON's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On NFON's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now NFON's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that NFON currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with NFON.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NFON might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.