Adtran Networks Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Adtran Networks is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 109.4% and 4.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 108.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 1% in 3 years.

Key information

109.4%

Earnings growth rate

108.3%

EPS growth rate

Communications earnings growth	47.6%
Revenue growth rate	4.6%
Future return on equity	1.0%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	08 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

This Analyst Just Downgraded Their Adtran Networks SE (ETR:ADV) EPS Forecasts

Aug 09

Why ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Could Be Worth Watching

Aug 30

An Intrinsic Calculation For ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Suggests It's 33% Undervalued

May 30

It Looks Like Shareholders Would Probably Approve ADVA Optical Networking SE's (ETR:ADV) CEO Compensation Package

May 13

ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Mar 16

Our View On ADVA Optical Networking's (ETR:ADV) CEO Pay

Feb 28

A Look At The Fair Value Of ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV)

Feb 15

Is ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Popular Amongst Institutions?

Feb 03

Does ADVA Optical Networking's (ETR:ADV) Share Price Gain of 21% Match Its Business Performance?

Jan 18

We Think ADVA Optical Networking's (ETR:ADV) Statutory Profit Might Understate Its Earnings Potential

Jan 05

At €6.88, Is ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Worth Looking At Closely?

Dec 23

Does ADVA Optical Networking (ETR:ADV) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 10

ADVA Optical Networking SE's (ETR:ADV) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Nov 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:ADV - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	520	10	0	68	1
12/31/2025	473	-2	-16	52	1
12/31/2024	430	-8	23	92	1
6/30/2024	482	-23	-15	52	N/A
3/31/2024	543	-19	-24	44	N/A
12/31/2023	614	-15	-31	38	N/A
9/30/2023	677	0	-21	50	N/A
6/30/2023	725	12	-28	42	N/A
3/31/2023	721	16	-28	39	N/A
12/31/2022	712	18	-58	15	N/A
9/30/2022	674	32	-42	30	N/A
6/30/2022	646	49	-12	58	N/A
3/31/2022	629	54	9	83	N/A
12/31/2021	603	59	59	123	N/A
9/30/2021	586	55	53	110	N/A
6/30/2021	581	43	51	107	N/A
3/31/2021	577	39	60	113	N/A
12/31/2020	565	20	39	97	N/A
9/30/2020	576	10	43	104	N/A
6/30/2020	573	5	25	88	N/A
3/31/2020	561	-1	9	72	N/A
12/31/2019	557	7	6	67	N/A
9/30/2019	537	8	4	64	N/A
6/30/2019	519	10	8	65	N/A
3/31/2019	510	13	9	61	N/A
12/31/2018	502	10	12	60	N/A
9/30/2018	488	5	5	51	N/A
6/30/2018	473	-13	-30	16	N/A
3/31/2018	493	-13	N/A	27	N/A
12/31/2017	514	-4	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2017	525	10	N/A	31	N/A
6/30/2017	574	28	N/A	72	N/A
3/31/2017	587	33	N/A	65	N/A
12/31/2016	567	22	N/A	61	N/A
9/30/2016	550	17	N/A	51	N/A
6/30/2016	513	22	N/A	47	N/A
3/31/2016	468	17	N/A	43	N/A
12/31/2015	442	27	N/A	39	N/A
9/30/2015	417	22	N/A	41	N/A
6/30/2015	382	18	N/A	45	N/A
3/31/2015	357	13	N/A	40	N/A
12/31/2014	339	8	N/A	46	N/A
9/30/2014	329	13	N/A	41	N/A
6/30/2014	321	10	N/A	34	N/A
3/31/2014	312	10	N/A	35	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ADV is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: ADV is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: ADV is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ADV's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ADV's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ADV's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/15 19:20
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/15 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Adtran Networks SE is covered by 17 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Alban Cousin	Arete Research Services LLP
Muhammad Farid Khwaja	Berenberg
Karsten Iltgen	Credit Suisse

Adtran Networks Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 275%

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 19%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 71%, revenue downgraded

Price target decreased by 7.7% to €18.00

Adtran Networks SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Financial Year 2023

ADVA Optical Networking SE Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 275%

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: €0.016 loss per share (vs €0.063 profit in 2Q 2023)

This Analyst Just Downgraded Their Adtran Networks SE (ETR:ADV) EPS Forecasts

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 19%

Adtran Networks SE to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 07, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Adtran Networks SE, Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 71%, revenue downgraded

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Adtran Networks SE to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024

New minor risk - Financial data availability

Adtran Networks SE to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024

Price target decreased by 7.7% to €18.00

Adtran Networks SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Financial Year 2023

Adtran Networks SE Announces Resignation of Dr. Johanna Hey as A Member of the Supervisory Board and as Chairwoman, Effective from June 30, 2023

ADVA Optical Networking SE to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Final Results on Mar 08, 2023

ADVA Optical Networking SE to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

ADVA Optical Networking SE Launches its Latest Optical Cesium Atomic Clock Solution, Providing Unprecedented Protection for Critical Network Infrastructure Systems That Rely on Synchronization from GNSS

ADVA Optical Networking SE Answers On-Premises Cloud Demand with Ensemble Cloudlet

Adva Optical Networking SE Adds Time-Sensitive Networking to 100G Edge Solution

ADVA Optical Networking SE Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

ADVA Optical Networking SE Launches Market’s First Pluggable 10G Edge Demarcation Device

ADVA Launches Auto-Tunable Transceiver to Help Operators Easily Scale Access Networks to 25G

ADVA Introduces New 10G Edge Device for Outdoor Environments

ADVA Announces CEO Change

ADVA Unveils Market’s First High-Performance Optical Cesium Clock

ADVA and II-VI Incorporates Unveil Industry’s First 100Zr Pluggable Coherent Transceiver for the Optical Network Edge

ADVA simplifies uCPE rollout with industry’s first software-as-a-service MANO

ADVA Launches GPS-Backup-as-a-Service to Help Service Providers Combat GNSS Cyberattacks

ADVA Optical Networking SE Brings Ultra-Precise Timing to Open Servers with New PTP Solution

ADVA Optical Networking SE Boosts Resiliency and Accuracy of NTP Timing with New Software Release

ADVA Optical Networking SE Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

ADVA Launches Ensemble Simulator for Virtual End-to-End Network Testing

ADVA Boosts PNT Resilience with New Software Release

New Holding Company, in Coordination with Adva Intends to Pursue A Delisting and Squeeze-Out of the Adva Shares

Why ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Could Be Worth Watching

ADVA Launches Market’s First 25G Demarcation Solution

Price target increased to €14.80

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.24 (vs €0.15 in 2Q 2020)

ADVA Optical Networking SE Launches Its Fully Featured Ensemble SmartWAN Secure Networking Solution

ADVA Launches TeraFlex™ CoreChannel™ for Industry’s Longest 800G Reach

An Intrinsic Calculation For ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Suggests It's 33% Undervalued

Price target increased to €13.60

ADVA Optical Networking Se Launches Its New Compact, Low-Power Edge Demarcation Solution

It Looks Like Shareholders Would Probably Approve ADVA Optical Networking SE's (ETR:ADV) CEO Compensation Package

ADVA Launches s FSP 150-XG118Pro (CSH)

Is There Now An Opportunity In ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV)?

ADVA Launches Market’s First Compact Grandmaster Clock with Multi-Band GNSS Receiver

ADVA Optical Networking SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2021

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.22 (vs €0.14 loss in 1Q 2020)

Here's Why I Think ADVA Optical Networking (ETR:ADV) Is An Interesting Stock

Is ADVA Optical Networking (ETR:ADV) Using Too Much Debt?

ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

ADVA Launches Compact Timing Solution for Digital Power Substations

VicTrack transforms rail and government infrastructure with ADVA FSP 3000

Analysts update estimates

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.40 (vs €0.14 in FY 2019)

Earnings beat expectations, revenue disappoints

Our View On ADVA Optical Networking's (ETR:ADV) CEO Pay

ADVA Provides Updates on its Field Trial of Quantum-Secured Transport

A Look At The Fair Value Of ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV)

New 90-day high: €9.46

ADVA Expands Its MicroMux™ Series of Pluggable Devices with Two New Models

Is ADVA Optical Networking SE (ETR:ADV) Popular Amongst Institutions?

STC Calls on ADVA’s NFV Suite for uCPE Services

Does ADVA Optical Networking's (ETR:ADV) Share Price Gain of 21% Match Its Business Performance?

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

ADVA Expands Ensemble Harmony Ecosystem to Include Disaggregated Packet Networking

Price target raised to €9.20