The 20% return this week takes Allgeier's (ETR:AEIN) shareholders one-year gains to 83%

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 16, 2022
XTRA:AEIN
Source: Shutterstock

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Allgeier SE (ETR:AEIN) share price down 13% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been pleasing. To wit, it had solidly beat the market, up 79%.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Allgeier investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's one-year performance.

See our latest analysis for Allgeier

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last year Allgeier grew its earnings per share, moving from a loss to a profit.

When a company is just on the edge of profitability it can be well worth considering other metrics in order to more precisely gauge growth (and therefore understand share price movements).

We are skeptical of the suggestion that the 1.2% dividend yield would entice buyers to the stock. However the year on year revenue growth of 7.0% would help. We do see some companies suppress earnings in order to accelerate revenue growth.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:AEIN Earnings and Revenue Growth March 16th 2022

We know that Allgeier has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Allgeier

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Allgeier the TSR over the last 1 year was 83%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Pleasingly, Allgeier's total shareholder return last year was 83%. And yes, that does include the dividend. The TSR has been even better over three years, coming in at 96% per year. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Allgeier , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

We will like Allgeier better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

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