Stock Analysis

AIXTRON's (ETR:AIXA) Dividend Will Be Increased To €0.30

XTRA:AIXA
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AIXTRON SE's (ETR:AIXA) dividend will be increasing on the 30th of May to €0.30, with investors receiving 173% more than last year. This will take the dividend yield from 0.6% to 1.6%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for AIXTRON

AIXTRON Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, AIXTRON's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

EPS is set to fall by 6.3% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 102%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
XTRA:AIXA Historic Dividend February 27th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.60 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €0.11. The dividend has fallen 82% over that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. It's encouraging to see AIXTRON has been growing its earnings per share at 39% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

Our Thoughts On AIXTRON's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think AIXTRON's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for AIXTRON that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.