Stock Analysis

While shareholders of Weng Fine Art (FRA:WFA) are in the black over 3 years, those who bought a week ago aren't so fortunate

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DB:WFA
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While Weng Fine Art AG (FRA:WFA) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 22% in the last quarter. But in three years the returns have been great. In fact, the share price is up a full 122% compared to three years ago. After a run like that some may not be surprised to see prices moderate. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.

Although Weng Fine Art has shed €7.4m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Weng Fine Art

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

earnings-per-share-growth
DB:WFA Earnings Per Share Growth October 1st 2022

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Weng Fine Art's TSR for the last 3 years was 132%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren't great for Weng Fine Art shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 55%, including dividends. The market shed around 25%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Investors are up over three years, booking 32% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Weng Fine Art (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Weng Fine Art better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Weng Fine Art is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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About DB:WFA

Weng Fine Art

Weng Fine Art AG operates as an art dealer in Europe and the United States.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation0
Future Growth0
Past Performance3
Financial Health4
Dividends0

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.