JD.com Valuation

Is 013A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 013A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 013A (€28.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€51.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 013A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 013A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

013A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 013A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 013A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average66.2x
WES Wesfarmers
29.7x8.9%AU$73.6b
ECK LUDWIG BECK am Rathauseck - Textilhaus Feldmeier
197.2xn/a€85.0m
CPNG Coupang
30.1x9.2%US$40.9b
NPN Naspers
7.8x-12.7%R642.3b
013A JD.com
13.9x12.6%€46.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 013A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (66.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 013A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 013A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 013A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

013A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ratio47.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 013A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 013A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.25
€34.56
+22.3%
25.3%€65.37€23.34n/a38
Apr ’25€25.50
€34.42
+35.0%
25.6%€64.57€23.78n/a36
Mar ’25€21.25
€36.74
+72.9%
32.4%€72.91€21.20n/a36
Feb ’25€20.35
€37.41
+83.8%
31.7%€72.93€21.15n/a38
Jan ’25€25.80
€40.54
+57.1%
27.7%€72.65€27.15n/a37
Dec ’24€24.70
€41.36
+67.4%
26.8%€73.76€27.62n/a38
Nov ’24€23.95
€43.85
+83.1%
24.4%€75.52€29.31n/a38
Oct ’24€27.55
€52.08
+89.0%
22.9%€91.31€32.11n/a39
Sep ’24€31.65
€52.11
+64.7%
22.6%€88.97€35.02n/a39
Aug ’24€36.50
€53.80
+47.4%
21.0%€87.94€35.70n/a39
Jul ’24€31.40
€52.91
+68.5%
20.9%€87.39€35.59n/a39
Jun ’24€32.20
€55.76
+73.2%
21.0%€89.66€35.43n/a40
May ’24€32.60
€56.70
+73.9%
19.8%€83.21€35.31n/a40
Apr ’24€40.70
€65.06
+59.9%
17.0%€84.91€38.73€25.5040
Mar ’24€42.80
€76.91
+79.7%
12.0%€96.76€58.84€21.2538
Feb ’24€55.30
€76.71
+38.7%
14.4%€118.02€58.18€20.3538
Jan ’24€53.20
€75.58
+42.1%
17.4%€117.98€48.77€25.8038
Dec ’23€53.50
€75.67
+41.4%
17.3%€117.35€48.51€24.7037
Nov ’23€39.70
€77.81
+96.0%
17.9%€111.50€50.29€23.9537
Oct ’23€51.70
€83.10
+60.7%
13.9%€115.00€61.63€27.5537
Sep ’23€62.70
€83.00
+32.4%
14.2%€113.53€53.32€31.6537
Aug ’23€56.70
€81.32
+43.4%
14.7%€112.17€53.59€36.5037
Jul ’23€63.00
€79.93
+26.9%
15.2%€109.78€52.59€31.4036
Jun ’23€52.50
€79.10
+50.7%
15.0%€108.77€51.82€32.2037
May ’23€59.10
€80.61
+36.4%
16.6%€109.66€36.53€32.6037
Apr ’23€53.50
€81.31
+52.0%
17.6%€109.76€31.68€40.7037

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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