AUTO1 Group SE

XTRA:AG1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.2b

AUTO1 Group Valuation

Is AG1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AG1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AG1 (€10.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€51.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AG1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AG1?

Key metric: As AG1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AG1. This is calculated by dividing AG1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AG1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
Sales€5.90b
Market Cap€2.21b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AG1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AG1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
0.3xn/a€1.9b
DOU Douglas
0.5x6.2%€2.0b
CEC Ceconomy
0.07x1.1%€1.4b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
0.2x3.7%€1.3b
AG1 AUTO1 Group
0.4x8.1%€2.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AG1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Specialty Retail Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CEC Ceconomy
0.07x1.1%US$1.50b
GFG Global Fashion Group
0.07x-0.5%US$57.65m
DEX Delticom
0.07x2.7%US$35.54m
49S Superdry
0.004x-1.4%US$3.12m
No more companies available in this PS range
AG1 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AG1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AG1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AG1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AG1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.15
€11.03
+8.6%
17.6%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Nov ’25€9.53
€9.96
+4.5%
17.2%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Oct ’25€10.24
€9.92
-3.2%
16.8%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Sep ’25€9.26
€9.66
+4.4%
20.0%€14.00€6.50n/a12
Aug ’25€8.08
€8.42
+4.2%
31.6%€14.00€4.00n/a12
Jul ’25€6.35
€7.55
+18.8%
32.2%€13.00€4.00n/a13
Jun ’25€6.97
€7.54
+8.2%
32.3%€13.00€4.00n/a13
May ’25€4.78
€7.28
+52.4%
57.7%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Apr ’25€4.38
€7.25
+65.3%
58.6%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Mar ’25€3.52
€7.43
+111.3%
57.1%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Feb ’25€3.79
€8.46
+123.4%
55.0%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Jan ’25€6.49
€9.93
+53.0%
40.0%€20.00€6.30n/a12
Dec ’24€5.71
€10.26
+79.5%
37.2%€20.00€7.00n/a12
Nov ’24€5.66
€10.28
+81.6%
36.2%€20.00€6.50€9.5312
Oct ’24€6.06
€10.50
+73.3%
34.2%€20.00€6.50€10.2412
Sep ’24€7.69
€10.76
+39.9%
31.9%€20.00€7.00€9.2612
Aug ’24€9.80
€10.77
+9.9%
32.1%€20.00€7.00€8.0812
Jul ’24€8.50
€10.82
+27.3%
32.0%€20.00€7.00€6.3512
Jun ’24€8.00
€10.87
+35.8%
31.8%€20.00€7.00€6.9712
May ’24€7.13
€11.05
+54.9%
32.7%€20.00€6.00€4.7811
Apr ’24€6.52
€11.09
+70.2%
32.3%€20.00€6.00€4.3811
Mar ’24€7.09
€11.08
+56.4%
31.6%€20.00€6.00€3.5212
Feb ’24€7.47
€11.66
+56.2%
30.5%€20.00€6.00€3.7912
Jan ’24€7.80
€12.37
+58.6%
35.9%€25.00€6.00€6.4913
Dec ’23€8.74
€12.85
+47.0%
40.9%€25.00€6.00€5.7113
Nov ’23€7.27
€14.88
+104.8%
42.5%€30.00€9.00€5.6613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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