AUTO1 Group SE

XTRA:AG1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.6b

AUTO1 Group Valuation

Is AG1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AG1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AG1 (€16.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€15.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AG1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AG1?

Key metric: As AG1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AG1. This is calculated by dividing AG1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AG1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
Sales€5.90b
Market Cap€3.63b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AG1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AG1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
FIE Fielmann Group
1.6x6.7%€3.5b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
0.3xn/a€2.0b
DOU Douglas
0.5x6.0%€2.1b
CEC Ceconomy
0.06x1.1%€1.3b
AG1 AUTO1 Group
0.6x8.1%€3.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AG1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AG1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Specialty Retail Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CEC Ceconomy
0.06x1.1%US$1.31b
GFG Global Fashion Group
0.07x1.2%US$53.70m
DEX Delticom
0.07x2.7%US$34.72m
49S Superdry
0.004x-1.4%US$3.12m
No more companies available in this PS range
AG1 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies4PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AG1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AG1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AG1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.70
€13.98
-16.3%
31.2%€20.50€8.00n/a12
Dec ’25€13.11
€11.44
-12.7%
22.4%€17.10€8.00n/a12
Nov ’25€9.53
€9.96
+4.5%
17.2%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Oct ’25€10.24
€9.92
-3.2%
16.8%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Sep ’25€9.26
€9.66
+4.4%
20.0%€14.00€6.50n/a12
Aug ’25€8.08
€8.42
+4.2%
31.6%€14.00€4.00n/a12
Jul ’25€6.35
€7.55
+18.8%
32.2%€13.00€4.00n/a13
Jun ’25€6.97
€7.54
+8.2%
32.3%€13.00€4.00n/a13
May ’25€4.78
€7.28
+52.4%
57.7%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Apr ’25€4.38
€7.25
+65.3%
58.6%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Mar ’25€3.52
€7.43
+111.3%
57.1%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Feb ’25€3.79
€8.46
+123.4%
55.0%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Jan ’25€6.49
€9.93
+53.0%
40.0%€20.00€6.30n/a12
Dec ’24€5.71
€10.26
+79.5%
37.2%€20.00€7.00€13.1112
Nov ’24€5.66
€10.28
+81.6%
36.2%€20.00€6.50€9.5312
Oct ’24€6.06
€10.50
+73.3%
34.2%€20.00€6.50€10.2412
Sep ’24€7.69
€10.76
+39.9%
31.9%€20.00€7.00€9.2612
Aug ’24€9.80
€10.77
+9.9%
32.1%€20.00€7.00€8.0812
Jul ’24€8.50
€10.82
+27.3%
32.0%€20.00€7.00€6.3512
Jun ’24€8.00
€10.87
+35.8%
31.8%€20.00€7.00€6.9712
May ’24€7.13
€11.05
+54.9%
32.7%€20.00€6.00€4.7811
Apr ’24€6.52
€11.09
+70.2%
32.3%€20.00€6.00€4.3811
Mar ’24€7.09
€11.08
+56.4%
31.6%€20.00€6.00€3.5212
Feb ’24€7.47
€11.66
+56.2%
30.5%€20.00€6.00€3.7912
Jan ’24€7.80
€12.37
+58.6%
35.9%€25.00€6.00€6.4913
Dec ’23€8.74
€12.85
+47.0%
40.9%€25.00€6.00€5.7113

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 04:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AUTO1 Group SE is covered by 22 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew RossBarclays
Lina Kim GhayorBNP Paribas Exane
William PackerBNP Paribas Exane