Stock Analysis

Bike24 Holding AG (ETR:BIKE) Stocks Pounded By 29% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

XTRA:BIKE
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Bike24 Holding AG (ETR:BIKE) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 56% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Bike24 Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Bike24 Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:BIKE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 23rd 2024

How Bike24 Holding Has Been Performing

For instance, Bike24 Holding's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Bike24 Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Bike24 Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.9% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 20% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 6.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Bike24 Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.

The Key Takeaway

Following Bike24 Holding's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It appears to us that Bike24 Holding maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Bike24 Holding (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bike24 Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.