STINAG Stuttgart Invest AG's (FRA:STG) Dismal Stock Performance Reflects Weak Fundamentals

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 04, 2020

It is hard to get excited after looking at STINAG Stuttgart Invest's (FRA:STG) recent performance, when its stock has declined 12% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company’s fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. Specifically, we decided to study STINAG Stuttgart Invest's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for STINAG Stuttgart Invest

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for STINAG Stuttgart Invest is:

3.1% = €4.7m ÷ €152m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each €1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made €0.03 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

STINAG Stuttgart Invest's Earnings Growth And 3.1% ROE

At first glance, STINAG Stuttgart Invest's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 9.7%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 7.2% seen by STINAG Stuttgart Invest over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared STINAG Stuttgart Invest's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 14% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

DB:STG Past Earnings Growth November 4th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if STINAG Stuttgart Invest is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is STINAG Stuttgart Invest Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio as high as 126%,STINAG Stuttgart Invest's shrinking earnings don't come as a surprise as the company is paying a dividend which is beyond its means. Paying a dividend higher than reported profits is not a sustainable move. Our risks dashboard should have the 5 risks we have identified for STINAG Stuttgart Invest.

Moreover, STINAG Stuttgart Invest has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning STINAG Stuttgart Invest. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into STINAG Stuttgart Invest's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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