Douglas Emmett Valuation

Is D8K undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D8K when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: D8K (€12.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€17.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D8K is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D8K?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

D8K key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does D8K's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for D8K vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.8x
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
2.7x-7.2%€625.0m
GIB GSW Immobilien
13.4xn/a€5.0b
CDP COPT Defense Properties
3.9x2.6%US$2.7b
HIW Highwoods Properties
3.4x2.1%US$2.8b
D8K Douglas Emmett
2.3x1.1%€2.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: D8K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does D8K's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Office REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a94.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a94.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: D8K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the European Office REITs industry average (7.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D8K's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D8K PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio4.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: D8K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D8K forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.40
€12.79
+3.1%
13.2%€14.92€8.39n/a12
Apr ’25€12.50
€12.69
+1.5%
12.5%€14.81€8.33n/a12
Mar ’25€12.20
€12.83
+5.2%
14.0%€15.73€8.33n/a12
Feb ’25€12.50
€12.83
+2.6%
14.9%€15.62€8.27n/a12
Jan ’25€13.30
€12.57
-5.5%
14.9%€15.40€8.15n/a12
Dec ’24€11.20
€11.75
+4.9%
14.9%€14.60€8.21n/a12
Nov ’24€10.60
€12.72
+20.0%
13.7%€15.12€9.45n/a12
Oct ’24€11.90
€12.88
+8.2%
14.2%€14.91€9.32n/a11
Sep ’24€12.50
€12.51
+0.06%
14.0%€14.58€9.11n/a11
Aug ’24€12.90
€12.46
-3.4%
13.1%€15.48€9.56n/a11
Jul ’24€11.60
€12.46
+7.4%
15.0%€15.75€8.34n/a11
Jun ’24€10.80
€12.78
+18.3%
15.5%€15.80€8.36n/a12
May ’24€11.50
€13.12
+14.1%
12.7%€15.43€9.53€12.8012
Apr ’24€11.00
€13.73
+24.8%
17.5%€18.45€8.76€12.5013
Mar ’24€13.20
€16.65
+26.1%
15.4%€21.74€11.34€12.2013
Feb ’24€15.20
€16.59
+9.2%
14.8%€21.20€11.98€12.5014
Jan ’24€14.70
€18.50
+25.9%
13.6%€23.40€14.98€13.3014
Dec ’23€16.40
€20.02
+22.1%
16.0%€29.12€16.50€11.2014
Nov ’23€17.70
€22.12
+25.0%
14.6%€30.66€16.35€10.6014
Oct ’23€17.80
€26.13
+46.8%
10.3%€31.27€22.93€11.9014
Sep ’23€19.30
€26.38
+36.7%
10.0%€29.95€21.96€12.5014
Aug ’23€22.80
€28.07
+23.1%
12.8%€37.05€23.40€12.9014
Jul ’23€21.00
€29.80
+41.9%
12.1%€36.45€23.02€11.6014
Jun ’23€26.20
€32.61
+24.5%
7.0%€35.41€28.89€10.8013
May ’23€29.20
€34.53
+18.3%
5.0%€38.27€31.73€11.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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