Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.

DB:2OU Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.4b

Essential Properties Realty Trust Valuation

Is 2OU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2OU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2OU (€24.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€71.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2OU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2OU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2OU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue16.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.5x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2OU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2OU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
GIB GSW Immobilien
8.4xn/a€5.0b
3462 Nomura Real Estate Master Fund
22.1x-1.6%JP¥682.3b
FUNO 11 Fibra UNO
6.8x-1.3%Mex$95.3b
8972 KDX Realty Investment
45.6x12.0%JP¥627.8b
2OU Essential Properties Realty Trust
24.2x9.9%€4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2OU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2OU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a75.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a75.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2OU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x) compared to the European REITs industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2OU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2OU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 2OU's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2OU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€24.79
€26.39
+6.4%
4.7%€28.51€23.91n/a13
May ’25€24.59
€26.33
+7.1%
4.7%€28.91€24.25n/a13
Apr ’25€24.48
€25.98
+6.1%
4.6%€28.69€24.06n/a13
Mar ’25€22.40
€25.75
+14.9%
5.1%€28.78€23.21n/a13
Feb ’25€23.18
€25.26
+9.0%
6.0%€28.69€23.14n/a12
Jan ’25€23.18
€24.78
+6.9%
11.4%€32.69€20.88n/a12
Dec ’24€22.50
€24.34
+8.2%
12.5%€32.81€20.96n/a12
Nov ’24€21.10
€25.04
+18.7%
13.5%€34.10€21.79n/a11
Oct ’24€20.40
€26.52
+30.0%
10.2%€33.77€23.45n/a11
Sep ’24€22.34
€26.18
+17.2%
10.6%€33.18€23.04n/a10
Aug ’24€22.06
€25.90
+17.4%
10.2%€32.82€22.80n/a10
Jul ’24€21.50
€25.67
+19.4%
10.6%€32.86€22.82n/a10
Jun ’24€22.08
€25.25
+14.4%
11.1%€32.97€21.98n/a11
May ’24€22.26
€25.09
+12.7%
10.9%€32.66€21.77€24.5911
Apr ’24€22.65
€25.22
+11.3%
11.4%€33.21€22.14€24.4811
Mar ’24€23.88
€25.49
+6.8%
11.9%€33.76€22.51€22.4010
Feb ’24€22.76
€24.03
+5.6%
13.8%€33.19€20.28€23.1811
Jan ’24€21.65
€23.90
+10.4%
14.4%€33.96€20.75€23.1812
Dec ’23€21.85
€24.05
+10.1%
15.6%€34.87€20.34€22.5012
Nov ’23€21.85
€24.63
+12.7%
16.8%€36.13€21.08€21.1011
Oct ’23€19.83
€27.88
+40.6%
12.5%€37.52€22.93€20.4012
Sep ’23€22.51
€27.18
+20.7%
12.2%€36.12€22.07€22.3412
Aug ’23€23.12
€26.47
+14.5%
15.2%€35.10€21.45€22.0610
Jul ’23€21.08
€26.93
+27.7%
12.0%€34.02€20.79€21.5013
Jun ’23€21.58
€27.52
+27.6%
9.3%€33.71€24.35€22.0814
May ’23€22.79
€28.79
+26.3%
7.4%€34.11€26.53€22.2614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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