Stock Analysis

Is TLG Immobilien (HMSE:TLG) A Risky Investment?

HMSE:TLG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, TLG Immobilien AG (HMSE:TLG) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for TLG Immobilien

How Much Debt Does TLG Immobilien Carry?

As you can see below, TLG Immobilien had €1.22b of debt at December 2023, down from €1.28b a year prior. On the flip side, it has €389.8m in cash leading to net debt of about €830.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HMSE:TLG Debt to Equity History April 17th 2024

How Healthy Is TLG Immobilien's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TLG Immobilien had liabilities of €113.6m due within a year, and liabilities of €1.93b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €389.8m in cash and €109.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.55b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €1.58b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on TLG Immobilien's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

TLG Immobilien has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.4 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 6.6 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. We also note that TLG Immobilien improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive €111m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is TLG Immobilien's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, TLG Immobilien produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Mulling over TLG Immobilien's attempt at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making TLG Immobilien stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TLG Immobilien that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TLG Immobilien might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.