Liquidia Valuation

Is LT4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LT4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LT4 (€11.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LT4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LT4?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LT4 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue52.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-12.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LT4's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LT4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
3.1x23.1%€1.7b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
7.3x11.3%€266.4m
2FJ0 Pierrel
3.6xn/a€92.8m
93M1 MPH Health Care
0.4x-22.0%€88.2m
LT4 Liquidia
20.1x59.6%€952.6m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LT4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (3.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LT4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LT4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (20.1x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (2.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LT4's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LT4 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio20.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LT4's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LT4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.48
€22.42
+95.3%
38.8%€30.08€2.82n/a7
Apr ’25€13.78
€21.91
+59.0%
38.8%€29.39€2.76n/a7
Mar ’25€13.02
€19.54
+50.1%
42.9%€27.73€2.77n/a7
Feb ’25€11.76
€19.19
+63.2%
44.2%€27.60€2.76n/a7
Jan ’25€10.76
€16.62
+54.5%
46.4%€27.27€2.73n/a7
Dec ’24€6.49
€13.13
+102.3%
34.1%€16.88€2.81n/a7
Nov ’24€6.08
€13.27
+118.3%
34.1%€17.06€2.84n/a7
Oct ’24€5.96
€13.05
+119.0%
34.1%€16.78€2.80n/a7
Sep ’24€6.28
€12.79
+103.6%
34.1%€16.44€2.74n/a7
Aug ’24€6.96
€12.70
+82.5%
34.1%€16.33€2.72n/a7
Jul ’24€7.44
€13.09
+76.0%
35.4%€18.33€2.75n/a7
Jun ’24€7.52
€13.03
+73.3%
35.4%€18.24€2.74n/a7
May ’24€5.98
€13.04
+118.1%
35.4%€18.26€2.74n/a7
Apr ’24€6.13
€13.33
+117.5%
35.4%€18.66€2.80€13.787
Mar ’24€7.08
€13.12
+85.2%
35.0%€18.74€2.81€13.027
Feb ’24€6.00
€13.05
+117.5%
39.3%€19.85€2.98€11.767
Jan ’24€6.01
€13.05
+117.2%
39.3%€19.85€2.98€10.767
Dec ’23€4.75
€13.05
+175.0%
39.3%€19.85€2.98€6.497
Nov ’23€4.86
€13.36
+174.7%
38.1%€20.11€3.02€6.087
Oct ’23€5.34
€13.36
+150.3%
38.1%€20.11€3.02€5.967
Sep ’23€5.90
€13.36
+126.4%
38.1%€20.11€3.02€6.287
Aug ’23€4.70
€12.60
+167.9%
31.0%€16.66€3.92€6.967
Jul ’23€4.09
€11.03
+169.8%
31.8%€14.91€3.73€7.446
Jun ’23€3.73
€11.03
+195.7%
31.8%€14.91€3.73€7.526
May ’23€5.34
€10.63
+98.9%
30.9%€14.48€5.43€5.984
Apr ’23€6.44
€10.63
+65.2%
30.9%€14.48€5.43€6.134

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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