H. Lundbeck A/S

DB:LDBA Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.3b

H. Lundbeck Valuation

Is LDBA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LDBA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LDBA (€5.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LDBA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LDBA?

Key metric: As LDBA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LDBA. This is calculated by dividing LDBA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LDBA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.2x
EarningsDKK 2.69b
Market CapDKK 39.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LDBA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LDBA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
22.7x17.0%€2.1b
MRK Merck KGaA
22.7x11.1%€61.3b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
15.8x13.6%€285.4m
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
LDBA H. Lundbeck
15.2x8.8%€39.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LDBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LDBA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LDBA 15.2xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LDBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LDBA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LDBA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.2x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LDBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LDBA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.35
€6.72
+25.6%
14.1%€9.25€5.70n/a11
Dec ’25€5.77
€6.72
+16.5%
14.0%€9.25€5.70n/a11
Nov ’25€5.93
€6.56
+10.7%
9.2%€7.64€5.70n/a11
Oct ’25€5.65
€6.20
+9.8%
12.5%€7.64€4.69n/a12
Sep ’25€6.30
€6.10
-3.0%
12.0%€7.64€4.69n/a12
Aug ’25€5.78
€5.48
-5.2%
12.5%€7.37€4.69n/a12
Jul ’25€5.08
€5.36
+5.5%
10.9%€6.84€4.69n/a12
Jun ’25€5.03
€5.36
+6.5%
10.9%€6.84€4.69n/a12
May ’25€4.51
€5.19
+15.0%
12.3%€6.70€4.42n/a12
Apr ’25€4.38
€5.20
+18.8%
12.2%€6.71€4.43n/a12
Mar ’25€4.37
€5.14
+17.8%
12.5%€6.71€4.43n/a13
Feb ’25€4.51
€5.13
+13.9%
11.0%€6.44€4.43n/a13
Jan ’25€4.33
€5.17
+19.4%
10.4%€6.44€4.43n/a13
Dec ’24€4.39
€5.20
+18.6%
10.8%€6.44€4.29€5.7712
Nov ’24€4.92
€5.23
+6.4%
11.1%€6.30€4.29€5.9311
Oct ’24€5.07
€5.07
+0.07%
11.0%€6.31€4.29€5.6511
Sep ’24€4.67
€5.01
+7.3%
12.0%€6.31€4.03€6.3012
Aug ’24€4.48
€4.98
+11.2%
10.8%€5.90€4.03€5.7812
Jul ’24€4.31
€4.95
+14.9%
12.5%€5.91€4.03€5.0812
Jun ’24€4.89
€4.95
+1.3%
12.5%€5.91€4.03€5.0312
May ’24€4.74
€4.65
-2.0%
15.6%€5.90€4.02€4.5112
Apr ’24€4.22
€4.53
+7.3%
14.3%€5.71€3.63€4.3812
Mar ’24€3.95
€4.49
+13.5%
14.2%€5.71€3.63€4.3713
Feb ’24€3.36
€4.46
+32.9%
15.2%€5.78€3.63€4.5113
Jan ’24€3.45
€4.74
+37.5%
18.6%€6.18€3.63€4.3313
Dec ’23€3.49
€4.87
+39.6%
16.7%€6.19€3.63€4.3913

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 04:13
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

H. Lundbeck A/S is covered by 39 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter AnkersenABG Sundal Collier
Kamla SinghAlphaValue
Charles PitmanBarclays