Belite Bio Valuation

Is D01 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D01 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€441.69
Fair Value
87.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: D01 (€53.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€441.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D01 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D01?

Key metric: As D01 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for D01. This is calculated by dividing D01's market cap by their current book value.
What is D01's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio15.4x
BookUS$112.20m
Market CapUS$1.81b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does D01's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for D01 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.1x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
3.7x17.3%€2.2b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
8.5x13.6%€314.1m
BAYN Bayer
0.6x43.3%€19.3b
2FJ0 Pierrel
3.6xn/a€92.8m
D01 Belite Bio
15.4x58.5%€1.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: D01 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (4.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does D01's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D01 15.4xIndustry Avg. 2.2xNo. of Companies15PB01.63.24.86.48+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: D01 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (15.4x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (2.2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D01's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D01 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio15.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate D01's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D01 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.50
€75.38
+40.9%
32.9%€104.63€47.56n/a4
Jan ’26€58.50
€75.38
+28.9%
32.9%€104.63€47.56n/a4
Dec ’25€59.00
€75.38
+27.8%
32.9%€104.63€47.56n/a4
Nov ’25€63.50
€51.61
-18.7%
7.2%€54.56€45.47n/a4
Oct ’25€41.80
€51.61
+23.5%
7.2%€54.56€45.47n/a4
Sep ’25€43.20
€51.61
+19.5%
7.2%€54.56€45.47n/a4
Aug ’25€44.40
€51.99
+17.1%
6.9%€55.21€46.01n/a4
Jul ’25€42.20
€51.99
+23.2%
6.9%€55.21€46.01n/a4
Jun ’25€44.40
€51.99
+17.1%
6.9%€55.21€46.01n/a4
May ’25€36.80
€51.99
+41.3%
6.9%€55.21€46.01n/a4
Apr ’25€34.57
€51.99
+50.4%
6.9%€55.21€46.01n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
€52.17
0%
6.9%€55.40€46.17n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
€52.17
0%
6.9%€55.40€46.17n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€49.75
0%
10.9%€54.03€40.52€58.504
Dec ’24n/a
€49.31
0%
11.5%€54.21€41.35€59.003
Nov ’24n/a
€42.39
0%
28.3%€53.69€23.55€63.504
Oct ’24n/a
€40.99
0%
28.3%€51.92€22.77€41.804
Sep ’24n/a
€40.99
0%
28.3%€51.92€22.77€43.204
Aug ’24n/a
€40.82
0%
28.3%€51.70€22.68€44.404
Jul ’24n/a
€51.31
0%
1.8%€52.22€50.39€42.202
Jun ’24n/a
€52.48
0%
0.9%€52.94€52.02€44.402
May ’24n/a
€52.48
0%
0.9%€52.94€52.02€36.802
Apr ’24n/a
€54.91
0%
0.9%€55.39€54.44€34.572
Mar ’24n/a
€54.91
0%
0.9%€55.39€54.44n/a2
Feb ’24n/a
€54.91
0%
0.9%€55.39€54.44n/a2
Jan ’24n/a
€54.91
0%
0.9%€55.39€54.44n/a2
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
€75.79
Fair Value
29.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 03:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Belite Bio, Inc is covered by 6 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bruce JacksonBenchmark Company
Jennifer KimCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Yi ChenH.C. Wainwright & Co.