China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited

DB:640 Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.8b

China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Valuation

Is 640 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 640 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 640 (€0.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 640 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 640?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

640 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.9x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 640's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 640 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
27x23.1%€1.7b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
17.8x11.3%€266.4m
MRK Merck KGaA
23.4x10.0%€66.0b
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
640 China Resources Pharmaceutical Group
7.6x6.3%€31.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 640 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 640's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 640 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (25.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 640's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

640 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 640 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 640 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.59
€0.89
+49.1%
15.5%€1.11€0.70n/a9
Apr ’25€0.58
€0.89
+54.3%
13.9%€1.10€0.73n/a8
Mar ’25€0.61
€0.91
+49.5%
13.8%€1.10€0.70n/a8
Feb ’25€0.56
€0.95
+67.5%
12.5%€1.11€0.71n/a8
Jan ’25€0.58
€0.95
+63.2%
12.5%€1.11€0.71n/a8
Dec ’24€0.56
€0.95
+67.5%
12.5%€1.11€0.71n/a8
Nov ’24€0.59
€0.97
+64.1%
13.6%€1.19€0.72n/a8
Oct ’24€0.62
€0.94
+51.5%
13.3%€1.16€0.76n/a9
Sep ’24€0.59
€0.96
+63.0%
13.3%€1.16€0.76n/a10
Aug ’24€0.68
€0.93
+36.2%
13.5%€1.13€0.74n/a11
Jul ’24€0.78
€0.93
+19.4%
14.9%€1.19€0.74n/a11
Jun ’24€0.86
€0.93
+8.3%
14.9%€1.19€0.74n/a11
May ’24€0.88
€0.87
-1.6%
9.9%€0.98€0.73n/a9
Apr ’24€0.73
€0.86
+17.3%
12.2%€1.03€0.74€0.587
Mar ’24€0.77
€0.83
+8.6%
10.6%€1.05€0.75€0.619
Feb ’24€0.70
€0.81
+15.7%
9.4%€1.00€0.73€0.569
Jan ’24€0.76
€0.80
+5.8%
13.4%€1.02€0.59€0.589
Dec ’23€0.77
€0.82
+6.6%
13.4%€1.05€0.61€0.569
Nov ’23€0.72
€0.89
+23.8%
17.5%€1.27€0.65€0.599
Oct ’23€0.69
€0.89
+28.3%
17.5%€1.27€0.65€0.629
Sep ’23€0.69
€0.86
+23.7%
18.7%€1.24€0.63€0.599
Aug ’23€0.57
€0.81
+42.6%
20.5%€1.21€0.62€0.689
Jul ’23€0.64
€0.77
+20.9%
21.6%€1.17€0.60€0.789
Jun ’23€0.50
€0.73
+47.7%
23.0%€1.16€0.59€0.869
May ’23€0.50
€0.68
+37.2%
11.4%€0.82€0.59€0.887
Apr ’23€0.45
€0.72
+58.7%
19.6%€1.05€0.59€0.738

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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