Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

DB:29A Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.0b

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is 29A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 29A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 29A (€42.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€152.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 29A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 29A?

Key metric: As 29A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 29A. This is calculated by dividing 29A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 29A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
EarningsUS$157.72m
Market CapUS$2.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 29A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 29A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
22.1x18.1%€2.0b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
16.7x13.9%€304.6m
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
MRK Merck KGaA
22.9x10.9%€61.6b
29A Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
13.5x6.7%€2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 29A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 29A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
29A 13.5xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies12PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 29A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 29A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

29A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 29A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 29A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€42.12
€55.89
+32.7%
7.5%€63.38€52.82n/a5
Nov ’25€46.00
€54.45
+18.4%
7.7%€60.90€50.75n/a4
Oct ’25€43.16
€54.71
+26.8%
13.1%€64.04€43.92n/a5
Sep ’25€43.66
€54.71
+25.3%
13.1%€64.04€43.92n/a5
Aug ’25€39.75
€57.94
+45.8%
12.2%€65.71€46.28n/a5
Jul ’25€35.53
€57.94
+63.1%
12.2%€65.71€46.28n/a5
Jun ’25€38.45
€57.57
+49.7%
12.2%€65.30€45.99n/a5
May ’25€38.75
€58.39
+50.7%
12.2%€66.22€46.64n/a5
Apr ’25€40.60
€59.68
+47.0%
7.3%€65.39€55.26n/a5
Mar ’25€42.80
€61.99
+44.8%
5.9%€65.69€56.44n/a4
Feb ’25€49.00
€62.32
+27.2%
4.7%€65.55€58.17n/a4
Jan ’25€56.00
€60.97
+8.9%
4.3%€65.09€57.76n/a4
Dec ’24€51.50
€60.97
+18.4%
4.3%€65.09€57.76n/a4
Nov ’24€42.60
€65.15
+52.9%
3.1%€67.04€62.32€46.003
Oct ’24€44.20
€65.15
+47.4%
3.1%€67.04€62.32€43.163
Sep ’24€51.00
€63.85
+25.2%
3.1%€65.70€61.07€43.663
Aug ’24€54.00
€59.72
+10.6%
4.9%€63.34€56.10€39.753
Jun ’24€40.80
€40.90
+0.2%
2.8%€42.44€39.67€38.453
May ’24€32.00
€37.73
+17.9%
4.1%€39.84€36.22€38.753
Apr ’24€34.20
€38.92
+13.8%
4.0%€41.51€37.74€40.604
Mar ’24€31.00
€35.64
+15.0%
6.7%€38.45€32.83€42.804
Feb ’24€27.40
€37.21
+35.8%
5.2%€39.96€34.96€49.004
Jan ’24€26.20
€37.21
+42.0%
5.2%€39.96€34.96€56.004
Dec ’23€28.40
€37.21
+31.0%
5.2%€39.96€34.96€51.504
Nov ’23€31.20
€38.89
+24.6%
9.2%€44.15€35.12€42.604

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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