Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc.

DB:23I Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.9b

Intra-Cellular Therapies Valuation

Is 23I undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 23I when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 23I (€67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€442.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 23I is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 23I?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

23I key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue15x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-43.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 23I's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 23I vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
1.5x3.3%€1.7b
BAYN Bayer
0.6x1.0%€27.6b
MRK Merck KGaA
3.1x4.3%€65.3b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
2.7x6.6%€268.8m
23I Intra-Cellular Therapies
16x29.4%€7.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 23I is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 23I's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 23I is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 23I's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

23I PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio16x
Fair PS Ratio6.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 23I is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 23I forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€67.00
€84.69
+26.4%
15.1%€111.86€60.59n/a16
Apr ’25€64.00
€76.33
+19.3%
11.7%€92.77€59.70n/a17
Mar ’25€65.40
€76.91
+17.6%
12.1%€93.33€60.07n/a16
Feb ’25€62.70
€74.19
+18.3%
14.4%€93.18€54.43n/a16
Jan ’25€66.00
€70.73
+7.2%
16.5%€92.01€52.84n/a15
Dec ’24€56.70
€72.31
+27.5%
17.6%€94.19€54.09n/a13
Nov ’24€47.10
€72.96
+54.9%
16.4%€94.19€55.57n/a13
Oct ’24€50.80
€71.48
+40.7%
16.2%€90.87€53.61n/a12
Sep ’24€50.90
€71.48
+40.4%
16.2%€90.87€53.61n/a12
Aug ’24€55.90
€70.35
+25.8%
14.8%€88.67€53.38n/a12
Jul ’24€57.00
€70.56
+23.8%
15.7%€89.81€53.15n/a12
Jun ’24€54.60
€68.24
+25.0%
16.8%€89.07€52.72n/a13
May ’24€55.60
€66.52
+19.6%
16.6%€88.74€50.71€67.5013
Apr ’24€50.88
€65.50
+28.7%
18.3%€90.41€51.66€64.0013
Mar ’24€45.69
€65.58
+43.5%
17.1%€87.22€49.71€65.4013
Feb ’24€44.40
€64.53
+45.3%
17.1%€85.74€49.78€62.7013
Jan ’24€49.42
€68.95
+39.5%
17.6%€93.34€50.19€66.0013
Dec ’23€51.48
€68.95
+33.9%
17.6%€93.34€50.19€56.7013
Nov ’23€46.87
€67.22
+43.4%
17.4%€89.27€48.60€47.1013
Oct ’23€47.18
€69.57
+47.5%
16.8%€90.54€49.29€50.8013
Sep ’23€50.20
€69.57
+38.6%
16.8%€90.54€49.29€50.9013
Aug ’23€52.06
€69.34
+33.2%
14.3%€88.18€55.85€55.9013
Jul ’23€54.24
€68.27
+25.9%
14.4%€86.44€54.74€57.0012
Jun ’23€52.34
€67.98
+29.9%
15.0%€86.51€54.79€54.6011
May ’23€49.91
€64.68
+29.6%
14.9%€83.38€52.80€55.6011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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