Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Gerresheimer AG (ETR:GXI)?

XTRA:GXI
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While Gerresheimer AG (ETR:GXI) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the XTRA over the last few months. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Gerresheimer’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Gerresheimer

Is Gerresheimer Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 34.57x is currently trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy Gerresheimer today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. In addition to this, it seems like Gerresheimer’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from Gerresheimer?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:GXI Earnings and Revenue Growth October 19th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Gerresheimer's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? GXI’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at GXI? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GXI, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for GXI, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Gerresheimer at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Gerresheimer and you'll want to know about these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.