Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Gerresheimer AG (ETR:GXI)

XTRA:GXI
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.2x Gerresheimer AG (ETR:GXI) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 8x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Gerresheimer has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Gerresheimer

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:GXI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 10th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Gerresheimer's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Gerresheimer?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Gerresheimer would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 29% per annum during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Gerresheimer's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Gerresheimer's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Gerresheimer that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Gerresheimer. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.