Cable One Valuation

Is XC1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XC1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XC1 (€382) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€483.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XC1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XC1?

Key metric: As XC1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XC1. This is calculated by dividing XC1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XC1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsUS$223.21m
Market CapUS$2.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XC1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XC1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
22.6x29.2%€2.6b
RRTL RTL Group
9.3x-2.6%€3.7b
M8G Verve Group
14.6x22.0%€746.3m
G24 Scout24
35.3x14.8%€6.2b
XC1 Cable One
10.5x-9.5%€2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XC1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (20.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XC1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XC1 10.5xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XC1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XC1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XC1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XC1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XC1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€382.00
€460.70
+20.6%
33.7%€783.67€318.22n/a6
Nov ’25€328.00
€449.36
+37.0%
35.5%€777.92€281.88n/a6
Oct ’25€312.00
€449.36
+44.0%
35.5%€777.92€281.88n/a6
Sep ’25€324.00
€449.36
+38.7%
35.5%€777.92€281.88n/a6
Aug ’25€380.00
€453.38
+19.3%
35.3%€790.25€302.15n/a6
Jul ’25€326.00
€453.38
+39.1%
35.3%€790.25€302.15n/a6
Jun ’25€344.00
€453.38
+31.8%
35.3%€790.25€302.15n/a6
May ’25€370.00
€503.62
+36.1%
30.0%€811.49€315.94n/a7
Apr ’25€390.00
€516.37
+32.4%
28.1%€826.65€341.68n/a7
Mar ’25€418.00
€532.76
+27.5%
27.8%€829.80€385.40n/a6
Feb ’25€505.00
€655.10
+29.7%
30.2%€1,031.19€388.32n/a6
Jan ’25€500.00
€655.10
+31.0%
30.2%€1,031.19€388.32n/a6
Dec ’24€486.00
€711.28
+46.4%
24.4%€1,035.30€512.99n/a5
Nov ’24€515.00
€776.27
+50.7%
20.5%€1,072.07€611.31€328.005
Oct ’24€570.00
€776.27
+36.2%
20.5%€1,072.07€611.31€312.005
Sep ’24€600.00
€776.27
+29.4%
20.5%€1,072.07€611.31€324.005
Aug ’24€645.00
€806.05
+25.0%
24.5%€1,174.53€617.20€380.005
Jul ’24€600.00
€835.47
+39.2%
24.0%€1,156.81€607.89€326.006
Jun ’24€555.00
€835.47
+50.5%
24.0%€1,156.81€607.89€344.006
May ’24€680.00
€906.82
+33.4%
21.3%€1,208.57€644.57€370.006
Apr ’24€605.00
€906.82
+49.9%
21.3%€1,208.57€644.57€390.006
Mar ’24€645.00
€906.82
+40.6%
21.3%€1,208.57€644.57€418.006
Feb ’24€715.00
€1,005.73
+40.7%
17.1%€1,235.39€760.24€505.006
Jan ’24€650.00
€1,062.25
+63.4%
17.1%€1,304.81€802.96€500.006
Dec ’23€680.00
€1,062.25
+56.2%
17.1%€1,304.81€802.96€486.006
Nov ’23€850.00
€1,528.21
+79.8%
11.2%€1,705.34€1,186.32€515.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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