Verve Group SE

XTRA:M8G Stock Report

Market Cap: €746.3m

Verve Group Valuation

Is M8G undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M8G when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M8G (€4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M8G is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M8G?

Key metric: As M8G is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for M8G. This is calculated by dividing M8G's market cap by their current earnings.
What is M8G's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
Earnings€51.03m
Market Cap€746.32m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M8G's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M8G vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.3x
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
22.6x29.2%€2.6b
SYZ SYZYGY
16.2x20.8%€38.3m
APM ad pepper media International
71.6x9.4%€37.5m
NWO New Work
30.7x32.3%€367.6m
M8G Verve Group
14.6x22.0%€746.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M8G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (35.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M8G's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
M8G 14.6xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M8G is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M8G's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M8G PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: M8G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M8G forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.00
€4.62
+15.6%
33.7%€6.60€1.68n/a6
Nov ’25€3.81
€4.48
+17.6%
35.3%€6.60€1.68n/a6
Oct ’25€3.49
€4.49
+28.5%
35.2%€6.60€1.68n/a6
Sep ’25€3.04
€4.02
+32.5%
40.2%€6.00€1.68n/a7
Aug ’25€2.58
€3.82
+48.2%
40.6%€6.00€1.68n/a7
Jul ’25€2.02
€3.92
+94.1%
42.2%€6.00€1.68n/a6
Jun ’25€1.71
€3.15
+83.9%
40.1%€4.50€1.43n/a5
May ’25€1.65
€2.88
+74.8%
48.6%€4.50€1.00n/a5
Apr ’25€1.63
€2.84
+74.9%
48.4%€4.50€1.00n/a5
Mar ’25€1.15
€2.56
+122.5%
46.1%€4.05€1.00n/a5
Feb ’25€1.01
€2.56
+153.3%
46.1%€4.05€1.00n/a5
Jan ’25€1.02
€2.62
+156.2%
42.2%€4.05€1.30n/a5
Dec ’24€0.88
€2.61
+196.6%
42.7%€4.05€1.30n/a5
Nov ’24€0.80
€2.94
+266.7%
34.3%€4.05€1.30€3.814
Oct ’24€1.08
€2.94
+172.0%
34.3%€4.05€1.30€3.494
Sep ’24€1.28
€3.65
+185.2%
39.9%€5.30€1.30€3.044
Aug ’24€1.18
€3.65
+208.8%
39.9%€5.30€1.30€2.584
Jul ’24€0.92
€4.33
+369.6%
13.0%€5.30€4.00€2.024
Jun ’24€1.11
€4.35
+291.9%
13.9%€5.40€4.00€1.714
May ’24€1.24
€4.35
+250.8%
13.9%€5.40€4.00€1.654
Apr ’24€1.26
€4.35
+245.8%
13.9%€5.40€4.00€1.634
Mar ’24€1.60
€4.54
+183.6%
15.8%€5.75€4.00€1.154
Feb ’24€1.60
€4.53
+183.1%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€1.015
Jan ’24€1.73
€4.53
+162.6%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€1.025
Dec ’23€1.58
€4.53
+187.1%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€0.885
Nov ’23€1.66
€4.53
+172.2%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€0.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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