ProSiebenSat.1 Media Valuation

Is PSM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSM (€6.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PSM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PSM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PSM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
RRTL RTL Group
0.8x4.5%€4.9b
KA8 Klassik Radio
0.9xn/a€15.9m
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
1.6x7.1%€3.1b
WIG1 Sporttotal
0.5xn/a€24.0m
PSM ProSiebenSat.1 Media
0.4x2.4%€1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PSM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PSM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Media industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PSM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.59
€7.42
+12.5%
29.4%€12.50€4.90n/a13
Mar ’25€6.40
€7.26
+13.4%
31.4%€12.50€4.70n/a13
Feb ’25€6.45
€7.41
+14.8%
38.5%€15.00€4.70n/a13
Jan ’25€5.53
€7.69
+39.0%
36.5%€15.00€4.90n/a13
Dec ’24€5.72
€7.97
+39.4%
34.7%€15.00€4.90n/a13
Nov ’24€5.15
€8.50
+65.1%
32.2%€15.00€5.30n/a13
Oct ’24€6.41
€9.31
+45.3%
22.6%€15.00€6.50n/a13
Sep ’24€7.38
€9.21
+24.9%
23.0%€15.00€6.50n/a14
Aug ’24€8.96
€9.21
+2.8%
24.3%€15.00€6.00n/a14
Jul ’24€8.54
€9.26
+8.5%
24.0%€15.00€6.00n/a14
Jun ’24€7.83
€9.19
+17.3%
23.7%€15.00€6.00n/a14
May ’24€8.12
€9.68
+19.2%
22.3%€15.00€6.00n/a14
Apr ’24€9.36
€9.72
+3.8%
21.6%€15.00€6.00n/a14
Mar ’24€9.12
€9.94
+9.0%
24.8%€15.00€6.00€6.4014
Feb ’24€9.54
€9.94
+4.2%
24.8%€15.00€6.00€6.4514
Jan ’24€8.35
€9.61
+15.0%
28.9%€15.00€6.00€5.5315
Dec ’23€8.89
€10.12
+13.9%
32.3%€16.00€6.20€5.7215
Nov ’23€7.07
€10.08
+42.5%
34.9%€16.00€5.91€5.1515
Oct ’23€7.31
€12.51
+71.2%
31.6%€20.00€7.00€6.4115
Sep ’23€7.40
€13.13
+77.5%
30.6%€20.00€7.29€7.3815
Aug ’23€8.36
€14.26
+70.6%
30.1%€22.50€8.00€8.9615
Jul ’23€8.90
€15.08
+69.5%
25.8%€22.50€8.70€8.5415
Jun ’23€10.19
€15.45
+51.7%
26.1%€22.50€8.70€7.8316
May ’23€11.02
€16.48
+49.6%
23.6%€23.00€10.00€8.1216
Apr ’23€11.61
€17.22
+48.3%
20.0%€23.00€11.30€9.3616
Mar ’23€11.73
€19.16
+63.4%
20.2%€28.00€11.30€9.1216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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