Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That ProSiebenSat.1 Media (ETR:PSM) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

XTRA:PSM
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (ETR:PSM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for ProSiebenSat.1 Media

What Is ProSiebenSat.1 Media's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ProSiebenSat.1 Media had debt of €2.59b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from €3.54b over a year. However, it does have €559.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €2.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:PSM Debt to Equity History November 8th 2021

How Healthy Is ProSiebenSat.1 Media's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that ProSiebenSat.1 Media had liabilities of €1.20b due within a year, and liabilities of €3.39b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €559.0m in cash and €657.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.37b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €3.41b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on ProSiebenSat.1 Media's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

ProSiebenSat.1 Media's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 10.5 times, makes us even more comfortable. Also relevant is that ProSiebenSat.1 Media has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 24% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ProSiebenSat.1 Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, ProSiebenSat.1 Media's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Both ProSiebenSat.1 Media's ability to to grow its EBIT and its interest cover gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about ProSiebenSat.1 Media's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with ProSiebenSat.1 Media , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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