MGI - Media and Games Invest SE

XTRA:M8G Stock Report

Market Cap: €262.1m

MGI - Media and Games Invest Valuation

Is M8G undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M8G when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M8G (€1.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M8G is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M8G?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

M8G key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.7x
PEG Ratio-0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M8G's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M8G vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
IFS Infas Holding
28.5xn/a€27.9m
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
36.2x37.3%€3.4b
BVB Borussia Dortmund GmbH Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien
10.3x-29.5%€401.8m
BST Bastei Lübbe
8x-8.7%€86.5m
M8G MGI - Media and Games Invest
5.6x-8.3%€262.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M8G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M8G's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M8G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the European Media industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M8G's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M8G PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.6x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: M8G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M8G forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.65
€2.88
+75.2%
48.6%€4.50€1.00n/a5
Apr ’25€1.63
€2.66
+63.3%
55.7%€4.50€1.00n/a4
Mar ’25€1.15
€2.56
+122.5%
46.1%€4.05€1.00n/a5
Feb ’25€1.01
€2.56
+153.3%
46.1%€4.05€1.00n/a5
Jan ’25€1.02
€2.62
+156.2%
42.2%€4.05€1.30n/a5
Dec ’24€0.88
€2.61
+196.6%
42.7%€4.05€1.30n/a5
Nov ’24€0.80
€2.94
+266.7%
34.3%€4.05€1.30n/a4
Oct ’24€1.08
€2.94
+172.0%
34.3%€4.05€1.30n/a4
Sep ’24€1.28
€3.65
+185.2%
39.9%€5.30€1.30n/a4
Aug ’24€1.18
€3.65
+208.8%
39.9%€5.30€1.30n/a4
Jul ’24€0.92
€4.33
+369.6%
13.0%€5.30€4.00n/a4
Jun ’24€1.11
€4.35
+291.9%
13.9%€5.40€4.00n/a4
May ’24€1.24
€4.35
+250.8%
13.9%€5.40€4.00n/a4
Apr ’24€1.26
€4.35
+245.8%
13.9%€5.40€4.00€1.634
Mar ’24€1.60
€4.54
+183.6%
15.8%€5.75€4.00€1.154
Feb ’24€1.60
€4.53
+183.1%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€1.015
Jan ’24€1.73
€4.53
+162.6%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€1.025
Dec ’23€1.58
€4.53
+187.1%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€0.885
Nov ’23€1.66
€4.53
+172.2%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€0.805
Oct ’23€1.58
€4.53
+186.9%
14.2%€5.75€4.00€1.085
Sep ’23€1.98
€4.83
+143.5%
14.0%€5.75€4.00€1.285
Aug ’23€2.35
€5.56
+136.8%
35.7%€9.40€4.00€1.185
Jul ’23€2.24
€7.69
+244.3%
22.5%€9.55€5.50€0.925
Jun ’23€3.15
€7.69
+144.3%
22.5%€9.55€5.50€1.115
May ’23€3.08
€7.54
+144.7%
17.9%€9.20€5.82€1.246
Apr ’23€3.36
€7.65
+127.8%
16.8%€9.20€5.80€1.267

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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