Nucor Valuation

Is NUO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NUO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NUO (€136.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€217.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NUO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NUO?

Key metric: As NUO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NUO. This is calculated by dividing NUO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NUO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
EarningsUS$2.51b
Market CapUS$33.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NUO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NUO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36x
BAS BASF
76.9x34.2%€38.2b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.4x7.3%€21.1b
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
18.3xn/a€200.6m
SY1 Symrise
37.2x12.6%€14.6b
NUO Nucor
13.5x10.1%€34.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NUO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (36x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NUO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NUO 13.5xIndustry Avg. 12.5xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NUO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NUO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NUO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NUO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NUO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€136.26
€163.67
+20.1%
14.1%€226.51€141.57n/a11
Nov ’25€131.18
€160.66
+22.5%
14.1%€222.34€138.96n/a11
Oct ’25€133.34
€162.72
+22.0%
12.3%€216.82€144.54n/a10
Sep ’25€134.04
€167.10
+24.7%
10.3%€218.69€154.90n/a11
Aug ’25€149.06
€170.65
+14.5%
10.4%€221.04€156.57n/a11
Jul ’25€145.36
€176.30
+21.3%
9.5%€224.71€159.17n/a11
Jun ’25€152.36
€186.58
+22.5%
9.7%€220.73€165.55n/a11
May ’25€161.94
€189.90
+17.3%
9.5%€223.85€167.89n/a11
Apr ’25€182.80
€180.79
-1.1%
9.5%€221.69€164.60n/a10
Mar ’25€177.90
€173.37
-2.5%
5.4%€194.99€165.46n/a10
Feb ’25€173.05
€168.17
-2.8%
7.4%€193.68€142.03n/a9
Jan ’25€158.10
€159.92
+1.2%
6.5%€172.10€139.49n/a9
Dec ’24€155.70
€158.20
+1.6%
7.9%€173.62€137.98n/a8
Nov ’24€139.60
€160.42
+14.9%
8.5%€174.81€139.85€131.189
Oct ’24€149.10
€160.87
+7.9%
8.7%€178.76€138.51€133.349
Sep ’24€158.95
€152.81
-3.9%
9.7%€173.26€126.99€134.0411
Aug ’24€158.10
€152.81
-3.3%
9.7%€173.26€126.99€149.0611
Jul ’24€148.95
€146.54
-1.6%
9.9%€174.73€120.82€145.3612
Jun ’24€122.85
€146.54
+19.3%
9.9%€174.73€120.82€152.3612
May ’24€132.80
€140.98
+6.2%
11.1%€170.61€117.07€161.9413
Apr ’24€137.94
€144.43
+4.7%
11.3%€176.04€116.74€182.8013
Mar ’24€159.62
€138.93
-13.0%
14.4%€178.20€105.04€177.9012
Feb ’24€155.02
€134.27
-13.4%
12.7%€165.58€103.03€173.0512
Jan ’24€124.08
€128.00
+3.2%
14.0%€168.10€102.73€158.1011
Dec ’23€142.22
€128.37
-9.7%
14.2%€174.37€105.59€155.7011
Nov ’23€135.18
€129.89
-3.9%
15.0%€180.65€109.39€139.6011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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