thyssenkrupp Valuation

Is TKA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TKA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TKA (€3.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TKA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TKA?

Key metric: As TKA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TKA. This is calculated by dividing TKA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TKA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.07x
Sales€35.04b
Market Cap€2.41b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TKA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TKA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
SZG Salzgitter
0.09x2.1%€887.0m
NDA Aurubis
0.2x4.2%€3.3b
LXS LANXESS
0.3x2.8%€2.0b
SDF K+S
0.5x0.4%€2.0b
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.07x1.1%€2.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TKA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TKA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x1.9%
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.07x1.1%US$2.55b
TKA 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies35PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x28.5%
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.07x105.9%US$2.55b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TKA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TKA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TKA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.07x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TKA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TKA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.87
€5.12
+32.1%
29.7%€8.00€3.70n/a6
Nov ’25€3.15
€5.08
+61.4%
31.2%€8.00€3.20n/a6
Oct ’25€3.42
€5.33
+55.9%
34.9%€9.00€3.50n/a6
Sep ’25€3.20
€7.15
+123.7%
60.9%€16.00€3.50n/a6
Aug ’25€3.41
€7.40
+116.9%
54.2%€16.00€4.00n/a7
Jul ’25€4.09
€7.67
+87.4%
50.2%€16.00€4.50n/a7
Jun ’25€4.53
€7.76
+71.4%
48.9%€16.00€4.50n/a7
May ’25€4.71
€7.79
+65.4%
48.4%€16.00€4.50n/a7
Apr ’25€4.97
€8.36
+68.1%
42.3%€16.00€4.90n/a8
Mar ’25€4.74
€8.55
+80.5%
40.6%€16.00€4.90n/a8
Feb ’25€5.77
€9.18
+59.0%
37.8%€16.00€6.00n/a8
Jan ’25€6.31
€9.39
+48.7%
35.3%€16.00€7.00n/a8
Dec ’24€6.97
€9.65
+38.5%
33.0%€16.00€7.00€3.878
Nov ’24€6.52
€9.78
+49.9%
34.5%€16.00€7.00€3.158
Oct ’24€7.23
€9.85
+36.3%
34.7%€16.00€6.30€3.428
Sep ’24€7.37
€9.86
+33.8%
34.5%€16.00€6.30€3.208
Aug ’24€7.06
€9.79
+38.6%
35.5%€16.00€6.00€3.418
Jul ’24€7.17
€9.73
+35.7%
36.7%€16.00€5.70€4.098
Jun ’24€6.48
€9.53
+47.0%
36.1%€16.00€5.70€4.538
May ’24€6.50
€9.50
+46.1%
33.2%€16.00€6.00€4.719
Apr ’24€6.62
€9.12
+37.9%
33.0%€16.00€5.70€4.979
Mar ’24€7.22
€9.21
+27.6%
32.1%€16.00€5.90€4.749
Feb ’24€7.33
€9.16
+24.9%
32.7%€16.00€5.70€5.779
Jan ’24€5.70
€8.80
+54.5%
36.9%€16.00€5.10€6.3110
Dec ’23€5.40
€8.80
+63.0%
36.9%€16.00€5.10€6.9710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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