Anglo American Valuation

Is NGLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NGLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NGLD (€13.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NGLD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NGLD?

Key metric: As NGLD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NGLD. This is calculated by dividing NGLD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NGLD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesUS$29.44b
Market CapUS$36.78b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NGLD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NGLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
BAS BASF
0.6x4.4%€37.5b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
1x3.9%€21.3b
1COV Covestro
0.8x4.3%€10.9b
SY1 Symrise
3x5.5%€14.6b
NGLD Anglo American
1.2x1.6%€29.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NGLD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NGLD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NGLD 1.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies35PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NGLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NGLD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NGLD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NGLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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