Gold Fields Valuation

Is EDGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EDGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EDGA (€16.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EDGA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EDGA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EDGA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.4x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EDGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EDGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.1x
SY1 Symrise
41.3x15.6%€14.1b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
8.5x4.3%€17.2b
NDA Aurubis
23.1x33.6%€3.3b
WCH Wacker Chemie
23.4x29.6%€5.0b
EDGA Gold Fields
20.5x28.7%€278.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EDGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (24.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EDGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EDGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EDGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EDGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio28x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EDGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EDGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.10
€14.15
-12.1%
20.1%€17.60€10.95n/a6
Apr ’25€14.60
€12.01
-17.8%
9.0%€13.80€10.80n/a6
Mar ’25€12.00
€11.78
-1.8%
12.7%€13.77€8.94n/a7
Feb ’25€13.30
€12.35
-7.1%
12.1%€14.83€10.13n/a7
Jan ’25€13.55
€12.20
-9.9%
12.6%€14.86€10.55n/a7
Dec ’24€14.55
€11.89
-18.3%
10.8%€13.66€10.36n/a7
Nov ’24€12.25
€12.38
+1.0%
10.2%€14.05€10.73n/a7
Oct ’24€10.05
€12.38
+23.2%
6.3%€13.49€10.99n/a7
Sep ’24€12.30
€12.38
+0.7%
6.5%€13.60€10.84n/a7
Aug ’24€12.70
€13.06
+2.8%
8.5%€14.43€10.95n/a7
Jul ’24€12.80
€12.87
+0.5%
8.8%€14.12€10.71n/a7
Jun ’24€14.80
€12.41
-16.2%
13.9%€14.71€9.47n/a7
May ’24€13.80
€12.73
-7.8%
13.7%€14.39€9.92€16.107
Apr ’24€12.35
€11.42
-7.5%
12.9%€13.20€9.46€14.607
Mar ’24€8.48
€10.86
+28.1%
15.2%€13.03€7.86€12.008
Feb ’24€10.35
€11.57
+11.8%
15.1%€14.27€8.12€13.308
Jan ’24€9.72
€10.78
+10.9%
20.3%€14.67€8.35€13.559
Dec ’23€10.75
€10.16
-5.5%
18.6%€12.96€7.29€14.559
Nov ’23€8.30
€9.49
+14.3%
13.0%€11.13€7.52€12.257
Oct ’23€8.18
€9.59
+17.3%
12.9%€11.28€7.61€10.057
Sep ’23€8.08
€9.92
+22.8%
11.3%€11.63€7.85€12.307
Aug ’23€9.04
€10.38
+14.8%
9.9%€11.81€8.86€12.708
Jul ’23€8.74
€11.18
+27.9%
15.0%€13.52€8.82€12.808
Jun ’23€9.22
€11.57
+25.5%
13.2%€13.74€9.64€14.807
May ’23€12.85
€12.49
-2.8%
16.1%€16.22€9.01€13.809

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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