Stock Analysis

Here's Why Aurubis (ETR:NDA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

XTRA:NDA
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aurubis

What Is Aurubis's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Aurubis had debt of €249.8m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from €261.5m over a year. However, it does have €451.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €201.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:NDA Debt to Equity History July 14th 2023

How Strong Is Aurubis' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Aurubis had liabilities of €2.41b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.03b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €451.1m and €794.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €2.19b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Aurubis has a market capitalization of €3.68b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Aurubis also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In fact Aurubis's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 66% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aurubis can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Aurubis may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Aurubis recorded free cash flow of 31% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

Although Aurubis's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €201.3m. So while Aurubis does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aurubis .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.