Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Aurubis's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Aurubis had €432.0m of debt, an increase on €198.0m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has €451.0m in cash, leading to a €19.0m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Aurubis' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Aurubis had liabilities of €2.45b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.13b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €451.0m as well as receivables valued at €757.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €2.37b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €3.95b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Aurubis' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Aurubis also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
View our latest analysis for Aurubis
Even more impressive was the fact that Aurubis grew its EBIT by 987% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aurubis's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Aurubis may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last three years, Aurubis actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Summing Up
Although Aurubis's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €19.0m. And we liked the look of last year's 987% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Aurubis's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Aurubis you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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