Heidelberg Materials AG

XTRA:HEI Stock Report

Market Cap: €32.6b

Heidelberg Materials Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Heidelberg Materials is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.4% and 4.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.5% in 3 years.

Key information

9.4%

Earnings growth rate

9.84%

EPS growth rate

Basic Materials earnings growth17.2%
Revenue growth rate4.5%
Future return on equity12.47%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Interim Report

Aug 04
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Interim Report

Recent updates

HEI: Medium Term Margin Conviction Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Narrative Update on Heidelberg Materials The analyst price target for Heidelberg Materials has remained at €225.74, with recent research citing mixed moves in individual broker targets and a wave of upgrades as analysts reassess the stock following the recent selloff. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Heidelberg Materials reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets following the recent selloff and reassessments of valuation and execution risks.

HEI: Medium Term Margin Conviction Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Heidelberg Materials' analyst price target has edged up to about €226, with analysts highlighting adjusted assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, following a mix of target changes and upgrades across recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are raising or reiterating price targets in the €220 range and above, which signals confidence that the current valuation still leaves room for upside if execution on earnings and cash flow meets expectations.

HEI: Upgraded Ratings And Earnings Quality Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Heidelberg Materials from €300 to €285 as slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple offset modestly stronger views on revenue growth and profit margins, in line with mixed recent price target revisions and upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Heidelberg Materials reflects a generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts shifting their stance more positively even as some price targets are adjusted lower.

HEI: Recent Rating Upgrades And Trimmed Expectations Will Likely Restrain Returns

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Heidelberg Materials by about €0.88 to €156.11, reflecting recent price target cuts on the stock even as some firms have upgraded their rating and still view the latest share pullback as overdone. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more mixed backdrop for Heidelberg Materials, with some firms trimming their fair value assumptions even when reiterating relatively constructive stances on the stock.

HEI: Upgraded Rating And Stable Fair Value Will Support Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Heidelberg Materials from €239 to €220, citing what they see as an overdone share price selloff while still maintaining a constructive view on the company. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have shifted to a more positive stance on Heidelberg Materials with an upgrade to a Buy rating, signalling increased confidence in the shares at current levels.

HEI: Higher Required Return And P/E Outlook Will Support Re Rating

Analysts are maintaining their €300.00 price target for Heidelberg Materials, citing only small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: €300.00 fair value estimate is unchanged, indicating no shift in the overall price target.

HEI: Higher Discount Rate And Rich P/E Will Likely Cap Upside

Analysts have kept their price target for Heidelberg Materials steady at €156.99, with small tweaks to the discount rate, a revenue growth outlook of 5.56% and a future P/E of 12.58x to reflect updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings potential. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains unchanged at €156.99.

HEI: Richer P/E Assumptions Will Likely Limit Long Term Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target for Heidelberg Materials from €146.80 to €157.00. This reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple.

HEI: Higher Multiple Outlook Will Support More Constructive Future Re Rating

Analysts have raised their price target on Heidelberg Materials from €240 to €300, citing higher expected growth. They see this as supporting a higher future P/E multiple, even with more conservative margin assumptions and a slightly higher discount rate.

Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Dec 29
Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

HEI: Future Margin Pressures May Cap Upside Despite Recent Optimism

Analysts have raised their price target for Heidelberg Materials from about EUR 121 to approximately EUR 147, citing expectations that the company's higher growth and improving profitability will support a higher earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has highlighted a more constructive stance on Heidelberg Materials, with some major houses citing stronger growth prospects and room for the valuation multiple to expand.

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI)?

Dec 16
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI)?

HEI: Higher Multiple Outlook And Cyclical Risks Will Shape Future Opportunity

Analysts have raised their price target on Heidelberg Materials from EUR 214.01 to EUR 224.67, citing expectations that the company’s higher growth will support a stronger valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights that bullish analysts are turning more positive on Heidelberg Materials as they factor in stronger growth prospects and potential for multiple expansion.

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Heidelberg Materials (ETR:HEI)

Dec 03
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Heidelberg Materials (ETR:HEI)

HEI: Upgraded Growth Outlook And Acquisition Activity Will Shape Future Opportunity

Analysts have raised their price target for Heidelberg Materials from €188 to €230, citing stronger growth prospects and improved profit margins as supporting factors for the upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a shift in sentiment toward Heidelberg Materials, with valuation and growth expectations playing central roles in the latest assessment.

HEI: Future Profit Margins And Potential Acquisitions Will Shape Risk And Opportunity

The analyst price target for Heidelberg Materials has increased slightly to €210.29 from €210.55. Analysts cite improved revenue growth projections and expanding profit margins as factors supporting a higher stock valuation.

Upgraded Outlook and Market Opportunities Will Drive Long-Term Share Price Gains

Narrative Update on Heidelberg Materials Analysts have raised their price target for Heidelberg Materials from €204.16 to €210.55, citing improved growth outlook and expectations for higher valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent assessments by bullish analysts have provided further insight into Heidelberg Materials’ prospects, with both optimistic and cautious points coming to the forefront as they evaluated the company’s execution and valuation trajectory.

Emerging Markets And Green Construction Will Create Long-Term Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Heidelberg Materials to approximately EUR 204 from about EUR 201, citing expectations of higher growth that could support an improved stock multiple. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Heidelberg Materials highlight both opportunities for continued growth and potential risks that could impact valuation and performance.

Emerging Markets And Green Construction Will Create Long-Term Value

The slight increase in Heidelberg Materials' future P/E ratio despite a modest decline in expected revenue growth suggests improved market sentiment or confidence in profitability, leading to a higher consensus price target, which has risen from €195.16 to €200.62. What's in the News Heidelberg Materials is among the bidders for NCC AB's aggregates, asphalt, and paving business, currently valued at up to $1 billion, with the sale process advancing to the next round of bidding.

Emerging Markets And Green Construction Will Create Long-Term Value

The modest increase in Heidelberg Materials' consensus analyst price target is primarily underpinned by a slightly higher forward P/E multiple, reflecting improved earnings expectations, raising fair value from €191.28 to €195.16. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Heidelberg Materials The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from €191.28 to €195.16.

At €197, Is Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 03
At €197, Is Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI) Worth Looking At Closely?

These 4 Measures Indicate That Heidelberg Materials (ETR:HEI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Aug 19
These 4 Measures Indicate That Heidelberg Materials (ETR:HEI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Interim Report

Aug 04
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Interim Report

Heidelberg Materials (ETR:HEI) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Jul 31
Heidelberg Materials (ETR:HEI) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Getting In Cheap On Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI) Might Be Difficult

Jun 25
Getting In Cheap On Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI) Might Be Difficult

Heidelberg Materials' (ETR:HEI) Dividend Will Be Increased To €3.30

May 10
Heidelberg Materials' (ETR:HEI) Dividend Will Be Increased To €3.30

Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) CEO Compensation Is Looking A Bit Stretched At The Moment

May 09
Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) CEO Compensation Is Looking A Bit Stretched At The Moment
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Sustainability Projects And Calculated Moves Fuel Exciting Growth And Margin Expansion

Transformation initiatives and sustainability projects are set to improve margins, revenues, and earnings through cost efficiencies and eco-friendly strategies.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:HEI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202824,5092,8172,7134,08314
12/31/202723,4132,5762,4503,79417
12/31/202622,1902,2962,3283,67218
12/31/202521,5521,9851,8403,255N/A
9/30/202521,6031,9221,8673,273N/A
6/30/202521,6541,8601,8943,291N/A
3/31/202521,4521,8031,8583,261N/A
12/31/202421,2511,7461,8223,232N/A
9/30/202421,0201,8001,8973,234N/A
6/30/202420,7901,8541,9723,236N/A
3/31/202421,0241,9431,9243,221N/A
12/31/202321,2592,0321,8763,205N/A
9/30/202321,4741,9331,5462,894N/A
6/30/202321,6891,8341,2172,583N/A
3/31/202321,4281,7201,1512,502N/A
12/31/202221,1661,6061,0852,420N/A
9/30/202220,4821,5937762,266N/A
6/30/202219,7981,5814672,112N/A
3/31/202219,2931,6936762,254N/A
12/31/202118,7871,8058852,396N/A
9/30/202118,5691,8021,4932,728N/A
6/30/202118,3501,8002,1013,061N/A
3/31/202118,006-1332,0803,044N/A
12/31/202017,662-2,0672,0583,027N/A
9/30/202017,587-2,2462,0753,251N/A
6/30/202017,953-2,2121,6642,788N/A
3/31/202018,433-5441,5742,726N/A
12/31/201918,9141,1231,4842,664N/A
9/30/201919,0431,010N/A2,457N/A
6/30/201918,921999N/A2,185N/A
3/31/201919,1191,289N/A2,655N/A
12/31/201818,1391,157N/A1,968N/A
9/30/201817,7251,116N/A1,827N/A
6/30/201817,3901,053N/A1,942N/A
3/31/201817,1941,022N/A1,831N/A
12/31/201717,351969N/A2,038N/A
9/30/201717,317852N/A1,816N/A
6/30/201717,230687N/A1,529N/A
3/31/201716,194648N/A1,650N/A
12/31/201615,242660N/A1,874N/A
9/30/201614,385823N/A1,675N/A
6/30/201613,468934N/A1,678N/A
3/31/201613,528884N/A1,561N/A
12/31/201513,532836N/A1,449N/A
9/30/201513,454881N/A1,365N/A
6/30/201513,338781N/A1,384N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HEI's forecast earnings growth (9.4% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: HEI's earnings (9.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HEI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HEI's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (6.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HEI's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HEI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/05 02:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/05 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Heidelberg Materials AG is covered by 34 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
Tom ZhangBarclays
Harry GoadBerenberg