Lion Corporation

DB:LOC Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.1b

Lion Valuation

Is LOC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOC (€10.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOC?

Key metric: As LOC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LOC. This is calculated by dividing LOC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LOC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.7x
EarningsJP¥18.44b
Market CapJP¥493.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.3x
HEN3 Henkel KGaA
18.6x6.5%€30.9b
WDFC WD-40
55.5x8.9%US$3.8b
ENR Energizer Holdings
72.3x18.9%US$2.8b
KIMBER A Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V
10.8x3.3%Mex$86.6b
LOC Lion
26.7x5.4%€493.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (39.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LOC 26.7xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.7x
Fair PE Ratio18.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.80
€10.14
-6.1%
7.0%€10.98€9.03n/a9
Nov ’25€9.80
€10.04
+2.4%
7.1%€11.08€9.11n/a9
Oct ’25€9.75
€10.24
+5.0%
8.2%€11.39€8.86n/a9
Sep ’25€9.05
€9.55
+5.6%
9.2%€11.21€8.60n/a9
Aug ’25€7.75
€8.74
+12.8%
10.0%€10.46€8.02n/a9
Jul ’25€7.15
€8.74
+22.3%
10.0%€10.46€8.02n/a9
Jun ’25€7.25
€9.11
+25.6%
9.5%€10.55€8.15n/a8
May ’25€8.20
€9.08
+10.7%
10.9%€10.66€7.70n/a8
Apr ’25€8.05
€9.46
+17.6%
11.6%€11.12€8.03n/a7
Mar ’25€7.90
€9.64
+22.0%
10.4%€11.05€8.60n/a6
Feb ’25€7.95
€10.88
+36.9%
21.5%€16.24€8.74n/a8
Jan ’25€8.15
€11.55
+41.7%
20.9%€16.77€9.29n/a7
Dec ’24€7.80
€10.70
+37.2%
21.5%€16.05€8.33n/a9
Nov ’24€8.85
€11.70
+32.2%
19.4%€16.49€8.88€9.809
Oct ’24€9.10
€11.70
+28.6%
19.4%€16.49€8.88€9.759
Sep ’24€9.75
€11.63
+19.3%
19.5%€16.49€8.88€9.059
Aug ’24€8.45
€11.43
+35.3%
19.8%€16.68€8.98€7.759
Jul ’24€8.30
€11.66
+40.4%
18.1%€16.69€9.31€7.159
Jun ’24€8.80
€12.24
+39.1%
18.1%€17.54€9.78€7.259
May ’24€9.65
€12.29
+27.3%
18.1%€17.61€9.82€8.209
Apr ’24€9.65
€12.47
+29.2%
19.7%€17.98€10.03€8.058
Mar ’24€9.85
€12.47
+26.6%
19.9%€18.05€9.79€7.908
Feb ’24€9.75
€12.61
+29.3%
19.3%€18.38€9.97€7.958
Jan ’24€10.40
€11.67
+12.2%
22.8%€17.77€7.52€8.159
Dec ’23€9.95
€11.98
+20.4%
21.7%€18.25€7.72€7.8010
Nov ’23€9.75
€12.38
+27.0%
19.4%€18.12€8.01€8.8511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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