Henkel KGaA Valuation

Is HEN3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HEN3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HEN3 (€79.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€154.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HEN3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HEN3?

Key metric: As HEN3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HEN3. This is calculated by dividing HEN3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HEN3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.6x
Earnings€1.78b
Market Cap€31.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HEN3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HEN3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.3x
BEI Beiersdorf
37.4x12.7%€27.6b
RKT Reckitt Benckiser Group
21.4x11.3%UK£33.0b
CHD Church & Dwight
49.1x18.0%US$26.7b
KMB Kimberly-Clark
17.4x2.2%US$44.7b
HEN3 Henkel KGaA
18.6x6.5%€31.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HEN3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the peer average (31.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HEN3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HEN3 18.6xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HEN3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HEN3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HEN3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.6x
Fair PE Ratio25.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HEN3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HEN3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€79.10
€84.00
+6.2%
6.7%€95.00€73.00n/a19
Nov ’25€79.44
€85.06
+7.1%
5.9%€95.00€77.00n/a18
Oct ’25€81.96
€83.79
+2.2%
7.8%€95.00€67.00n/a19
Sep ’25€82.76
€83.84
+1.3%
7.9%€95.00€67.00n/a19
Aug ’25€78.28
€83.42
+6.6%
8.1%€95.00€67.00n/a19
Jul ’25€83.14
€81.68
-1.8%
7.9%€94.00€67.00n/a19
Jun ’25€83.12
€81.32
-2.2%
7.9%€94.00€67.00n/a19
May ’25€74.46
€74.37
-0.1%
9.0%€87.00€61.00n/a19
Apr ’25€74.50
€73.37
-1.5%
9.9%€87.00€60.00n/a19
Mar ’25€70.40
€73.35
+4.2%
10.1%€87.00€60.00n/a20
Feb ’25€70.74
€73.30
+3.6%
10.1%€87.00€60.00n/a20
Jan ’25€72.86
€72.65
-0.3%
10.8%€87.00€59.00n/a20
Dec ’24€72.98
€72.25
-1.0%
10.6%€87.00€59.00n/a20
Nov ’24€68.48
€71.11
+3.8%
11.0%€89.00€59.00€79.4419
Oct ’24€67.46
€71.63
+6.2%
10.9%€89.00€59.00€81.9619
Sep ’24€71.18
€71.75
+0.8%
11.0%€89.00€59.00€82.7620
Aug ’24€69.58
€70.35
+1.1%
11.6%€87.00€58.00€78.2820
Jul ’24€73.26
€69.95
-4.5%
11.8%€87.00€58.00€83.1420
Jun ’24€74.50
€69.75
-6.4%
12.4%€87.00€55.00€83.1220
May ’24€73.28
€68.16
-7.0%
12.1%€83.00€52.00€74.4619
Apr ’24€72.06
€66.27
-8.0%
13.7%€83.00€48.40€74.5020
Mar ’24€68.60
€65.97
-3.8%
14.2%€86.00€48.40€70.4020
Feb ’24€65.28
€66.02
+1.1%
14.3%€86.00€48.40€70.7420
Jan ’24€65.02
€66.27
+1.9%
13.7%€86.00€48.40€72.8620
Dec ’23€68.84
€66.78
-3.0%
13.9%€89.00€48.40€72.9821
Nov ’23€63.36
€66.30
+4.6%
13.2%€89.00€48.40€68.4821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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