Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.

DB:H221 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.4b

Spectrum Brands Holdings Valuation

Is H221 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of H221 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: H221 (€86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€267.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: H221 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for H221?

Key metric: As H221 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for H221. This is calculated by dividing H221's market cap by their current earnings.
What is H221's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.6x
EarningsUS$99.30m
Market CapUS$2.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does H221's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for H221 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.9x
HEN3 Henkel KGaA
18.6x6.5%€30.9b
ENR Energizer Holdings
72.3x18.9%US$2.8b
CENT Central Garden & Pet
18x12.3%US$2.3b
4912 Lion
26.7x5.4%JP¥493.1b
H221 Spectrum Brands Holdings
25.6x14.1%€2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: H221 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the peer average (33.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does H221's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
H221 25.6xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: H221 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is H221's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

H221 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: H221 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst H221 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€86.00
€100.05
+16.3%
8.9%€109.71€87.77n/a8
Nov ’25€82.50
€95.05
+15.2%
9.7%€107.99€81.89n/a8
Oct ’25€85.00
€95.05
+11.8%
9.7%€107.99€81.89n/a8
Sep ’25€84.00
€96.17
+14.5%
10.5%€109.91€82.43n/a8
Aug ’25€78.00
€95.11
+21.9%
10.6%€106.19€80.34n/a8
Jul ’25€79.50
€96.86
+21.8%
9.3%€107.10€83.82n/a8
Jun ’25€80.50
€95.81
+19.0%
9.0%€105.69€83.63n/a8
May ’25€76.50
€85.64
+12.0%
7.1%€93.22€78.46n/a9
Apr ’25€82.00
€86.21
+5.1%
7.5%€93.75€78.90n/a8
Mar ’25€74.50
€86.21
+15.7%
7.5%€93.75€78.90n/a8
Feb ’25€72.50
€77.39
+6.7%
7.3%€84.63€68.99n/a8
Jan ’25€72.50
€76.47
+5.5%
7.1%€82.67€67.05n/a8
Dec ’24€63.50
€76.47
+20.4%
7.1%€82.67€67.05n/a8
Nov ’24€71.00
€84.34
+18.8%
9.6%€101.26€73.64€82.508
Oct ’24€74.00
€84.34
+14.0%
9.6%€101.26€73.64€85.008
Sep ’24€76.50
€84.34
+10.2%
9.6%€101.26€73.64€84.008
Aug ’24€71.00
€81.23
+14.4%
10.3%€100.40€73.02€78.007
Jul ’24€71.50
€81.23
+13.6%
10.3%€100.40€73.02€79.507
Jun ’24€67.50
€82.11
+21.6%
10.4%€102.30€74.40€80.507
May ’24€59.50
€74.41
+25.1%
16.6%€101.41€63.61€76.507
Apr ’24€58.62
€74.41
+26.9%
16.6%€101.41€63.61€82.007
Mar ’24€60.18
€74.95
+24.5%
17.9%€103.06€64.65€74.506
Feb ’24€62.06
€79.13
+27.5%
21.2%€105.05€63.99€72.507
Jan ’24€57.06
€79.13
+38.7%
21.2%€105.05€63.99€72.507
Dec ’23€50.72
€79.22
+56.2%
22.6%€106.46€60.97€63.507
Nov ’23€46.34
€89.80
+93.8%
20.4%€112.43€68.48€71.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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