C&S PaperLtd Valuation

Is 002511 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002511 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002511 (CN¥7.24) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002511 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002511?

Key metric: As 002511 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002511. This is calculated by dividing 002511's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002511's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43x
EarningsCN¥220.90m
Market CapCN¥9.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002511's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002511 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.5x
603515 Opple LightingLTD
14.4x9.7%CN¥12.8b
000523 Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou
50.9xn/aCN¥5.9b
605378 Zhejiang Mustang BatteryLtd
22.7xn/aCN¥3.3b
001206 Tianjin Yiyi Hygiene ProductsLtd
18x15.2%CN¥3.0b
002511 C&S PaperLtd
43x31.3%CN¥9.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002511 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x) compared to the peer average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002511's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002511 43.0xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002511 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x) compared to the Asian Household Products industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002511's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002511 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43x
Fair PE Ratio30.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002511 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002511 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥7.24
CN¥7.75
+7.0%
19.5%CN¥10.00CN¥5.00n/a6
Nov ’25CN¥7.04
CN¥7.75
+10.0%
19.5%CN¥10.00CN¥5.00n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥7.95
CN¥7.75
-2.6%
19.5%CN¥10.00CN¥5.00n/a6
Sep ’25CN¥6.59
CN¥8.15
+23.6%
11.5%CN¥10.00CN¥7.20n/a6
Aug ’25CN¥7.18
CN¥9.12
+27.0%
19.6%CN¥11.90CN¥7.20n/a6
Jul ’25CN¥7.01
CN¥9.45
+34.8%
16.6%CN¥11.90CN¥7.40n/a6
Jun ’25CN¥7.93
CN¥9.45
+19.2%
16.6%CN¥11.90CN¥7.40n/a6
May ’25CN¥8.89
CN¥9.34
+5.1%
18.2%CN¥11.90CN¥7.40n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥8.51
CN¥10.77
+26.5%
17.5%CN¥13.65CN¥8.60n/a6
Mar ’25CN¥9.23
CN¥11.77
+27.5%
19.8%CN¥15.20CN¥8.60n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥8.13
CN¥11.77
+44.7%
19.8%CN¥15.20CN¥8.60n/a6
Jan ’25CN¥10.00
CN¥11.97
+19.7%
18.5%CN¥15.20CN¥8.60n/a7
Dec ’24CN¥10.67
CN¥11.97
+12.2%
18.5%CN¥15.20CN¥8.60n/a7
Nov ’24CN¥10.85
CN¥12.58
+15.9%
18.1%CN¥15.40CN¥8.60CN¥7.049
Oct ’24CN¥10.25
CN¥12.25
+19.5%
20.1%CN¥15.40CN¥8.00CN¥7.959
Sep ’24CN¥10.37
CN¥12.49
+20.4%
19.9%CN¥15.40CN¥8.00CN¥6.599
Aug ’24CN¥11.03
CN¥13.49
+22.3%
18.8%CN¥16.70CN¥8.50CN¥7.189
Jul ’24CN¥11.15
CN¥14.10
+26.4%
15.9%CN¥16.70CN¥9.70CN¥7.019
Jun ’24CN¥11.71
CN¥14.04
+19.9%
16.2%CN¥16.00CN¥9.70CN¥7.938
May ’24CN¥11.78
CN¥14.04
+19.1%
16.2%CN¥16.00CN¥9.70CN¥8.898
Apr ’24CN¥12.10
CN¥12.81
+5.8%
22.4%CN¥16.00CN¥8.30CN¥8.517
Mar ’24CN¥12.76
CN¥12.57
-1.5%
22.7%CN¥16.00CN¥8.30CN¥9.238
Feb ’24CN¥12.65
CN¥12.57
-0.6%
22.7%CN¥16.00CN¥8.30CN¥8.138
Jan ’24CN¥13.74
CN¥12.03
-12.4%
21.0%CN¥16.00CN¥8.30CN¥10.008
Dec ’23CN¥11.41
CN¥11.18
-2.0%
17.4%CN¥13.20CN¥8.30CN¥10.677
Nov ’23CN¥9.70
CN¥11.18
+15.2%
17.4%CN¥13.20CN¥8.30CN¥10.857

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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