Stock Analysis

Is Siemens Healthineers (ETR:SHL) A Risky Investment?

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XTRA:SHL

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Siemens Healthineers AG (ETR:SHL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Siemens Healthineers

How Much Debt Does Siemens Healthineers Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Siemens Healthineers had €15.7b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €2.31b, its net debt is less, at about €13.4b.

XTRA:SHL Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Siemens Healthineers' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Siemens Healthineers had liabilities of €10.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of €16.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €2.31b as well as receivables valued at €6.26b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €19.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Siemens Healthineers is worth a massive €59.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Siemens Healthineers has net debt to EBITDA of 3.7 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 8.9 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 3.7. If Siemens Healthineers can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 20% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Siemens Healthineers's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Siemens Healthineers produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Siemens Healthineers's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. It's also worth noting that Siemens Healthineers is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. All these things considered, it appears that Siemens Healthineers can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Siemens Healthineers has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.