Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Medios AG (ETR:ILM1) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Medios
How Much Debt Does Medios Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Medios had debt of €33.9m, up from €2.80m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €73.5m in cash, so it actually has €39.5m net cash.
How Healthy Is Medios' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Medios had liabilities of €125.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €56.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €73.5m and €137.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has €29.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Medios has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Medios boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Medios has boosted its EBIT by 83%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Medios's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Medios may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last three years, Medios actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Medios has net cash of €39.5m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 83% over the last year. So is Medios's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Medios you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:ILM1
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.