Stock Analysis

At €29.20, Is Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:FRE) Worth Looking At Closely?

XTRA:FRE
Source: Shutterstock

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:FRE). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the XTRA. The recent share price gains has brought the company back closer to its yearly peak. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Fresenius SE KGaA’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Fresenius SE KGaA

Is Fresenius SE KGaA Still Cheap?

Fresenius SE KGaA is currently expensive based on our price multiple model, where we look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 52.71x is currently well-above the industry average of 23.66x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Fresenius SE KGaA’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Fresenius SE KGaA generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:FRE Earnings and Revenue Growth May 28th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Fresenius SE KGaA's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in FRE’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe FRE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FRE for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for FRE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Fresenius SE KGaA as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Fresenius SE KGaA (1 is significant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.