Karoon Energy Valuation

Is LBL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LBL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LBL (€1.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LBL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LBL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LBL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.4x
PEG Ratio3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LBL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LBL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
3.5x-6.9%€224.9m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.6x-7.5%€1.0b
VBK Verbio
24.1x43.1%€1.3b
LBL Karoon Energy
4.1x1.3%€1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LBL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LBL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LBL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.1x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LBL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.17
€1.55
+32.7%
11.8%€1.99€1.21n/a14
Apr ’25€1.29
€1.60
+23.8%
10.8%€1.98€1.39n/a14
Mar ’25€1.18
€1.59
+34.4%
11.1%€1.98€1.39n/a13
Feb ’25€1.17
€1.56
+33.4%
8.0%€1.83€1.34n/a12
Jan ’25€1.24
€1.67
+34.5%
11.2%€2.16€1.36n/a12
Dec ’24€1.23
€1.69
+37.7%
8.8%€2.11€1.52n/a11
Nov ’24€1.50
€1.72
+14.6%
8.3%€2.00€1.54n/a10
Oct ’24€1.60
€1.74
+9.0%
13.2%€2.21€1.51n/a11
Sep ’24€1.47
€1.65
+12.2%
12.3%€2.16€1.47n/a11
Aug ’24€1.34
€1.67
+24.3%
13.2%€2.20€1.45n/a11
Jul ’24€1.19
€1.69
+41.9%
15.0%€2.20€1.39n/a11
Jun ’24€1.22
€1.74
+42.9%
16.5%€2.24€1.35n/a10
May ’24€1.27
€1.71
+34.1%
16.5%€2.19€1.32n/a10
Apr ’24€1.31
€1.81
+38.0%
17.3%€2.34€1.40€1.299
Mar ’24€1.42
€1.87
+31.7%
14.8%€2.28€1.48€1.188
Feb ’24€1.49
€1.90
+27.6%
17.3%€2.41€1.50€1.178
Jan ’24€1.39
€1.80
+29.4%
18.5%€2.37€1.42€1.248
Dec ’23€1.50
€1.81
+20.9%
19.2%€2.44€1.46€1.238
Nov ’23€1.41
€1.79
+26.7%
20.9%€2.43€1.28€1.508
Oct ’23€1.20
€1.75
+45.6%
21.6%€2.35€1.27€1.608
Sep ’23€1.37
€1.73
+26.3%
16.7%€2.21€1.35€1.477
Aug ’23€1.23
€1.71
+39.2%
16.7%€2.19€1.33€1.347
Jul ’23€1.07
€1.58
+48.1%
11.9%€1.80€1.25€1.196
Jun ’23€1.37
€1.65
+20.8%
6.3%€1.79€1.50€1.225
May ’23€1.41
€1.69
+19.8%
6.6%€1.83€1.52€1.275
Apr ’23€1.47
€1.68
+14.5%
6.5%€1.81€1.50€1.315

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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