CropEnergies Valuation

Is CE2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CE2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CE2 (€11.52) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€8.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CE2 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CE2?

Key metric: As CE2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CE2. This is calculated by dividing CE2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CE2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.3x
Earnings€65.67m
Market Cap€1.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CE2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CE2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.7x
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.5x12.9%€549.0m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
8.8xn/a€439.6m
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.7x-8.9%€159.7m
500110 Chennai Petroleum
11.8x-5.0%₹84.8b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CE2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the peer average (53x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CE2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CE2 15.3xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CE2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CE2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CE2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.3x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CE2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CE2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Nov ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Oct ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Sep ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Aug ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Jul ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Jun ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
May ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Apr ’25n/a
€14.75
0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Mar ’25€11.52
€14.75
+28.0%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Feb ’25€11.50
€14.75
+28.3%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Jan ’25€11.50
€14.75
+28.3%
22.0%€18.00€11.50n/a2
Dec ’24€7.30
€14.30
+95.9%
33.6%€19.10€9.50n/a2
Nov ’24€8.05
€15.90
+97.5%
22.6%€19.50€12.30n/a2
Oct ’24€7.92
€17.00
+114.6%
14.7%€19.50€14.50n/a2
Sep ’24€8.54
€19.50
+128.3%
25.6%€24.50€14.50n/a2
Aug ’24€9.20
€19.50
+112.0%
25.6%€24.50€14.50n/a2
Jul ’24€10.02
€19.10
+90.6%
24.1%€23.70€14.50n/a2
Jun ’24€9.20
€19.10
+107.6%
24.1%€23.70€14.50n/a2
May ’24€10.48
€19.65
+87.5%
26.2%€24.80€14.50n/a2
Apr ’24€11.30
€19.65
+73.9%
26.2%€24.80€14.50n/a2
Mar ’24€11.78
€20.40
+73.2%
28.9%€26.30€14.50€11.522
Feb ’24€12.28
€20.40
+66.1%
28.9%€26.30€14.50€11.502
Jan ’24€13.02
€20.55
+57.8%
26.5%€26.00€15.10€11.502
Dec ’23€14.82
€20.55
+38.7%
26.5%€26.00€15.10€7.302
Nov ’23€15.80
€20.55
+30.1%
26.5%€26.00€15.10€8.052

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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